Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Utebo		Sestao

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.88	2.48
	2.88	2.88	2.92
	3.01	2.72	2.58	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.63
	2.69	3.16	2.63
	2.83	2.54	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.32)	2.81 ↓ (3)	2.69 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utebo
32.7%

Draw
32.9%

Sestao
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utebo's form might have worsened.

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utebo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-4%)

Utebo - Sestao Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent performances by Utebo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sestao is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Utebo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Utebo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Utebo - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.78%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Utebo	4:1 ✺
22.11.25	Utebo - Mutilvera	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ejea - Utebo	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Utebo - Beasain	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	UD Logroñés - Utebo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTL
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.11.25	Sestao - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Sestao - Eibar B	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Beasain - Sestao	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sestao - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Mutilvera - Sestao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.01.23	Sestao - Utebo	1:0
11.09.22	Utebo - Sestao	0:1

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