Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 11

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	Utrera		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.2
	2.7	3.1	2.45
	2.9	3.15	2.25
	2.91	3.04	2.38
	2.7	2.9	2.55
	2.84	3.15	2.36
	2.9	3.15	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (4.02)	3.08 ↓ (3.22)	2.35 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrera
32.1%

Draw
29.4%

Recreativo Huelva
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

27.8%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

27.5%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utrera's performance.

Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Recreativo Huelva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recreativo Huelva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Utrera - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Utrera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recreativo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recreativo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Utrera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Utrera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrera
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Utrera - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.11.22	San Roque de Lepe - Utrera	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Utrera - Racing Cartagena MM	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Yeclano Deportivo - Utrera	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Utrera - Cartagena B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWLW
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Recreativo Huelva - Burgos	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.11.22	Racing Cartagena MM - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Recreativo Huelva - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Granada B - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Recreativo Huelva - El Ejido	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.01.22	Recreativo Huelva - Utrera	1:2
12.09.21	Utrera - Recreativo Huelva	1:2

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