Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Utrillas		Binéfar

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	2.6
	2.68	2.78	2.62
	1.49	3.92	6.39	Watch
	2.88	2.63	2.63
	2.73	2.81	2.56
	2.8	2.75	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.49)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	3.24 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrillas
37.8%

Draw
32.6%

Binéfar
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

31.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Binéfar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrillas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (+4%)

Utrillas - Binéfar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Penella M. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Kombe M. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Chicho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrillas won 2.

Utrillas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Binéfar has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Utrillas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrillas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Binefar	5	2	1	2	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
21.12.25	Casetas - Utrillas	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Utrillas - Zuera	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	La Almunia - Utrillas	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Utrillas - Épila	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Belchite - Utrillas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLTT
- CD Binéfar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
21.12.25	Binéfar - Tamarite	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Atlético Monzón - Binéfar	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Binéfar - Almudévar	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Binéfar - Calamocha	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Huesca B - Binéfar	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
01.03.25	Binéfar - Utrillas	0:1
20.10.24	Utrillas - Binéfar	0:2
01.05.24	Utrillas - Binéfar	2:0
06.01.24	Binéfar - Utrillas	1:0
29.01.23	Utrillas - Binéfar	1:4
02.10.22	Binéfar - Utrillas	3:0

Utrillas - Binéfar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide