Match Info

Superettan - Round 9

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Bravida Arena (Göteborg)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	Utsikten		Örebro

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.1	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3
	2.15	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.21	3.65	3.27
	2.14	3.53	3.18	Watch
	2	3.3	3.3
	2.15	3.52	3.22	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.2)	3.5 (3.5)	3.22 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utsikten
44.3%

Draw
26.7%

Örebro
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.3%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utsikten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utsikten than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	21.4%	14.3%

Utsikten - Örebro Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Utsikten will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Örebro will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utsikten: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Utsikten (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Örebro (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Örebro (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Utsikten (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Örebro (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ojrzynski J. (G) 4. Tokpah D. 33. Lagerlund S. 21. Rodeblad Lowe K. 13. Moenza M. (C) 24. Salaou A. 10. Kabashi A. 25. Johansson N. 11. Book R. 16. Johansson A. 7. Bohm K.	30. Runheim B. (G) 2. Ghasem A. 16. Soderstrom H. 6. Bajrovic M. 4. McCue E. 3. Kack O. 20. Swartling C. 22. Shlimon L. 21. Alperud L. 17. Holmberg K. (C) 9. Yakoub A.
Substitutes
31. Amos T. (G) 17. Andren E. 8. Faltsetas A. 23. Fredriksson F. 12. Hjort W. 19. Selven J. 9. Sise M.	15. Astvald L. 19. Asumang B. 8. Azizovic A. 24. Dukhan W. 18. Hrastovina E. 1. Pahlsson M. (G) 14. Shagaxle H.
Coaches
Orovic B.	Haginge P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Holmberg K. ⚽,
7', 0 - 2, Yakoub A. ⚽, Alperud L. (A),
20', 1 - 2, Johansson A. ⚽, Rodeblad Lowe K. (A),
23', 2 - 2, Runheim B. (Own goal),
38', 3 - 2, Johansson N. ⚽, Bohm K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Johansson N. ↓, Karlsson A. ↑,
53', 3 - 3, Tokpah D. (Own goal),
55', Johansson A. 🟨,
58', Swartling C. ↓, Shagaxle H. ↑,
58', 4 - 3, Moenza M. ⚽, Karlsson A. (A),
60', Kabashi A. 🟨,
66', 4 - 4, Yakoub A. ⚽, Bajrovic M. (A),
67', Bohm K. ↓, Selven J. ↑,
76', Kabashi A. ↓, Andren E. ↑,
79', Yakoub A. 🟨,
83', Book R. ↓, Faltsetas A. ↑,
83', Salaou A. ↓, Sise M. ↑,
90', Alperud L. ↓, Asumang B. ↑,
90+5', Faltsetas A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utsikten won 3.

Utsikten is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Örebro has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Utsikten could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Utsikten won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Utsikten won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utsiktens BK
Swedish Superettan
17.05.25	Umeå - Utsikten	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Utsikten - Falkenberg	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Sundsvall - Utsikten	2:2 ✺
28.04.25	Utsikten - Västerås SK	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Utsikten - Sandviken	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTTW
- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
17.05.25	Örebro - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Oddevold - Örebro	2:1 ✺
05.05.25	Örebro - Trelleborg	0:0 ✺
29.04.25	Falkenberg - Örebro	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Örgryte - Örebro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
27.08.24	Utsikten - Örebro	3:2
23.05.24	Örebro - Utsikten	0:1
28.09.23	Örebro - Utsikten	5:1
31.05.23	Utsikten - Örebro	2:1
28.08.22	Utsikten - Örebro	1:2
24.07.22	Örebro - Utsikten	2:0

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