Match Info

Superettan - Round 24

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Värnamo		Öster

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.2
	1.93	3.60	3.30
	1.82	3.75	3.75
	1.86	4.03	3.95
	1.79	4.03	3.89	Watch
	1.81	3.95	3.9
	1.76	3.81	4.21	Watch
	1.8	3.75	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.95)	3.84 ↑ (3.73)	3.86 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
51.5%

Draw
24.3%

Öster
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

24.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

24.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Värnamo - Öster Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Värnamo (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Värnamo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 2. Rapp J. 3. Bjornstrom A. 16. Ravik Z. 18. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 33. Akinfenwa M. 11. Ljungberg A. 26. Johansson C. 10. Claesson V. (C) 9. Meriluoto K. 14. Antonsson M.	1. Lundahl C. (G) 15. Varmanen T. 5. Adolfsson M. 3. Gyamfi K. 14. Olsson D. (C) 18. Marrah K. 17. Bladh Pijaca H. 10. Uddenas O. 11. Olsson F. 19. Tamminen M. 9. Jawla K.
Substitutes
8. Andersson H. 17. Bozicevic F. 15. Coulibaly S. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 7. Johansson C. 24. Kamara M. 4. Ohlsson S. 39. Selin L. (G)	16. Adjei R. 8. Ask D. 24. Ayorinde N. 29. Due Grandt M. 12. Enzenross L. (G) 21. Lind V. 6. Soderberg N. 4. Starke S. 34. Thellsson C. W. I.
Coaches
Bergstrand K.	Friberg D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Olsson F. ⚽, Tamminen M. (A),
28', Adolfsson M. ↓, Starke S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', Olsson F. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
65', Johansson C. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
65', Akinfenwa M. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Claesson V. ⚽, Ljungberg A. (A),
72', 1 - 2, Bladh Pijaca H. ⚽, Marrah K. (A),
76', 1 - 3, Soderberg N. ⚽,
78', Claesson V. 🟨,
83', Tamminen M. ↓, Ask D. ↑,
83', Jawla K. ↓, Thellsson C. W. I. ↑,
84', Ljungberg A. ↓, Bozicevic F. ↑,
84', Meriluoto K. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.

Värnamo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Öster has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Värnamo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Oster	25	11	3	11	38:38	0	36
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
09.09.26	United Nordic - Värnamo	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	Värnamo - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ljungskile - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	Värnamo - Landskrona	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	Växjö Norra - Värnamo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWTW
- Östers IF
Swedish Superettan
10.09.26	Falkenberg - Öster	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Öster - United Nordic	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Sandviken - Öster	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Öster - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	Högaborgs - Öster	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
09.06.26	Öster - Värnamo	3:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.09.25	Öster - Värnamo	4:3
24.05.25	Värnamo - Öster	1:1
Swedish Superettan
12.09.21	Öster - Värnamo	2:0
17.07.21	Värnamo - Öster	2:0
Club Friendly
07.02.20	Öster - Värnamo	1:0
Swedish Superettan
27.08.18	Värnamo - Öster	1:0

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