Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 9

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Vélez		Antequera

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.95	2.85	2.45
	2.6	3.05	2.55
	2.63	3.09	2.67
	2.62	3.13	2.56
	2.6	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.61)	3.05 ↓ (3.22)	2.54 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez
34.3%

Draw
29.8%

Antequera
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

27.9%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

27%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez's performance.

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antequera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antequera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Vélez - Antequera Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Antequera will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 1.

Vélez is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Antequera in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Antequera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Antequera will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.10.22	Cadiz CF B - Vélez	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Vélez - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Betis B - Vélez	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Vélez - San Roque de Lepe	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Yeclano Deportivo - Vélez	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- Antequera CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.10.22	Antequera - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Sevilla B - Antequera	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Antequera - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Racing Cartagena MM - Antequera	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Antequera - Cartagena B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.05.22	Vélez - Antequera	1:1
12.12.21	Antequera - Vélez	3:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
31.01.21	Antequera - Vélez	0:1
01.11.20	Vélez - Antequera	1:1
02.02.20	Antequera - Vélez	2:1
13.01.19	Vélez - Antequera	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Vélez - Antequera	1:1

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