Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 10

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Vélez		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.4	3	3	Watch
	2.52	2.92	3.14
	2.53	2.74	3.14
	2.35	2.95	2.96
	2.33	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.31)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	3.02 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez
38.1%

Draw
31.5%

Estepona
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

31.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

33.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Vélez - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 12).

Vélez is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Estepona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vélez will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vélez won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Manchego - Vélez	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Vélez - Águilas	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Yeclano Deportivo - Vélez	3:1 ✺
08.10.23	Vélez - Betis B	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	La Unión - Vélez	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLTL
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
29.10.23	Estepona - Sevilla B	0:4 ✺
22.10.23	San Roque de Lepe - Estepona	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Estepona - Racing Cartagena MM	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Linense - Estepona	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Estepona - Cadiz CF B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.08.23	Vélez - Estepona	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
21.02.21	Vélez - Estepona	1:0
16.12.20	Estepona - Vélez	0:1

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