Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Vélez Sársfield		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	4	Watch
	2.05	3	3.9
	2.08	3.05	3.95	Watch
	2.17	2.96	4.43
	2.18	2.86	4.44
	2	3.18	4.05
	2.11	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.87)	3.01 ↓ (3.39)	4.07 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
45.2%

Draw
31.5%

Colón
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

28.4%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

28.3%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield's form might have worsened.

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Vélez Sársfield - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Colón will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Garzon L. (G) 4. Garcia J. 29. Jara L. 17. Giannetti L. (C) 3. Gomez E. 31. Gomez V. 18. Castro S. 22. Aquino C. 7. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 35. Caseres S. 9. Braian Romero	12. Ibanez M. (G) 36. Nardelli G. 2. German Conti 6. Goltz P. 33. Garces F. 40. Delgado R. 19. Galvan T. 14. Perlaza B. 34. Moreyra S. 9. Abila R. 10. Botta R.
Substitutes
10. Bou W. 28. Brizuela M. 27. Fernandez T. 8. Garayalde N. 25. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 6. Gordillo Y. 24. Guidara T. 14. Lobato L. 21. Mendez J. 19. Osorio A. 20. Pizzini F. 11. Prestianni G.	31. Alvarez F. 26. Arrua C. 27. Benitez J. 15. Cardozo A. 17. Chicco I. (G) 50. Guille B. 4. Henriquez F. 11. Ibanez J. 3. Mas E. 30. Pierotti S. 22. Toledo J. 5. Vega C.
Coaches
Mendez S.	Damonte I.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Colón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vélez will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Vélez won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.11.23	Argentinos Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Vélez Sársfield - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Instituto Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
23.10.23	Vélez Sársfield - Banfield	0:1 ✺
19.10.23	Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWLT
- CA Colón
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.11.23	Colón - Talleres de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
06.11.23	Banfield - Colón	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Colón - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
25.10.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	1:0 ✺
19.10.23	Colón - River Plate	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.04.23	Colón - Vélez Sársfield	2:1
Club Friendly
08.01.23	Vélez Sársfield - Colón	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.07.22	Colón - Vélez Sársfield	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.22	Colón - Vélez Sársfield	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.21	Vélez Sársfield - Colón	0:1
01.12.19	Vélez Sársfield - Colón	3:1
15.02.19	Vélez Sársfield - Colón	1:1

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