Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, LPF Play


	Vélez Sársfield 2		Belgrano 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.17	3.1	3.44
				Watch
	2.15	2.94	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.07)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.32 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield 2
42.6%

Draw
29.9%

Belgrano 2
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.1%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.4%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Belgrano 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Acuna M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
80', Sosa F. 🟨,
81', 2 - 0, Pozzo F. (Pen),
83', Correa M. 🟥,
85', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Vélez 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Belgrano 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vélez 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
12.06.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
20.05.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:1 ✺
13.05.25	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
11.06.25	Belgrano 2 - Lanús 2	2:1 penalties ✺
29.05.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Belgrano 2	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Belgrano 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Tigre 2 - Belgrano 2	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Belgrano 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
02.10.24	Belgrano 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:2
23.04.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2	4:0
15.11.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2	0:3
02.06.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2	1:0

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