Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Play Offs - Final

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN, LPF Play, Max, TNT Sports


	Vélez Sársfield 2		San Lorenzo 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3	3
				Watch
	2.24	3.19	3.1
				Watch
	2.22	3.06	3.12
	2.02	3.43	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)	3.17 ↓ (3.34)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield 2
42.4%

Draw
28.9%

San Lorenzo 2
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for San Lorenzo 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Ladstatter A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Mamani M. ⚽,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
93', 2 - 1, Porcel M. ⚽,
96', Romero N. 🟥,
120+1', 3 - 1, Porcel M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, San Lorenzo 2 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Vélez 2 is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.06.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2	3:0 ✺
12.06.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
20.05.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW
- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.06.25	Rosario Central 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:1 ✺
16.06.25	River Plate 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 penalties ✺
11.06.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:1 penalties ✺
29.05.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:2 ✺
20.05.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
13.03.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:1
18.07.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:1
08.02.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:0
28.04.23	San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1
10.10.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:0

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