The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokyo Verdy 30.6%
Draw 31.8%
Avispa Fukuoka 37.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.7%
31.2%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
30.4%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
83.3%
16.7%
Tokyo Verdy - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Avispa Fukuoka (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 22. Uchida Y. 4. Hayashi N. (C) 96. Cho Yu-Min 18. Mizoguchi S. 19. Fujimoto K. 8. Saito K. 16. Hirakawa R. 40. Arai Y. 33. Ichimi K. 25. Kumatoriya I.
24. Obata Y. (G) 16. Oka T. 37. Tashiro M. 38. Miya D. 47. Hashimoto Y. 34. Shiihashi K. 11. Miki T. (C) 29. Maejima Y. 6. Shigemi M. 25. Kitajima Y. 13. Morooka S.
Substitutes
38. Kanda S. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 10. Morita K. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 29. Sako M. 2. Shibato K. 15. Suzuki K. 45. Teranuma S. 13. Yamada G.
17. Akino H. 5. Kamijima T. 49. Maeda I. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 14. Nago S. 52. Takemoto S. 15. Tsujioka Y. 9. Werik Popo 2. Yuzawa M.
Coaches
Soma N.
Tsukahara S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Kumatoriya I. ⚽,
16', Soma N. 🟨,
41', Shiihashi K. 🟨,
45+4', Morooka S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Shiihashi K. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
49', Hayashi N. ↓, Sako M. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Werik Popo ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
61', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
66', Kumatoriya I. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
67', Saito K. ↓, Morita K. ↑,
68', Miya D. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Matsuhashi Y. ⚽, Ichimi K. (A),
76', Miya D. ↓, Tsujioka Y. ↑,
76', Kitajima Y. ↓, Takemoto S. ↑,
86', Shigemi M. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
88', Ichimi K. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
88', Arai Y. ↓, Yamada G. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Teranuma S. ⚽, Mizoguchi S. (A),
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 20th in the Relegation - J2 League and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Avispa Fukuoka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Tokyo Verdy: Miyahara K.
(Knee Injury)
Teranuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
Yoshida T.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Avispa Fukuoka: Fukushima K.
(Knee Injury)
Maeda K.
(Yellow Cards).
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Tokyo Verdy has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:17 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tokyo Verdy against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:10 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Avispa Fukuoka
9
2
1
6
11:13
-2
7
20
Verdy
10
0
4
6
4:18
-14
4
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Avispa Fukuoka: 0.34% Verdy: 0.34%
Last Results with these Odds
Avispa Fukuoka - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.14%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Matheus (G) 
Uchida Y. 
Cho Yu-Min 
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