Match Info

J1 League - Round 36

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokyo Verdy		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.75	2.75	Watch
	2.78	2.82	2.72	Watch
	3.02	2.9	2.88
	2.77	2.91	2.82	Watch
	2.77	2.83	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.77)	2.84 ↓ (2.91)	2.83 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
33.4%

Draw
33.2%

Avispa Fukuoka
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

32.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

34.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	87.5%	12.5%

Tokyo Verdy - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 6. Miyahara K. 4. Hayashi N. 3. Taniguchi H. 26. Uchida Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 7. Morita K. 2. Fukazawa D. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 40. Arai Y. 9. Someno I.	24. Obata Y. (G) 3. Nara T. 20. Ando T. 40. Ikeda J. 29. Maejima Y. 88. Matsuoka D. 11. Miki T. 22. Fujimoto K. 6. Shigemi M. 14. Nago S. 27. Usui S.
Substitutes
30. Kawamura G. 37. Kawasaki S. 20. Meshino S. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 27. Shirai R. 15. Suzuki K. 45. Teranuma S. 28. Yamamoto J. 55. Yoshida T.	47. Hashimoto Y. 18. Iwasaki Y. 5. Kamijima T. 8. Konno K. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 32. Sani Brown A. 37. Tashiro M. 17. Wellington 2. Yuzawa M.
Coaches
Hiroshi J.	Kim Myong-hwi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Arai Y. 🟨,
45', Fujimoto K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arai Y. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
46', Ikeda J. ↓, Kamijima T. ↑,
64', Shigemi M. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
64', Nago S. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
65', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
68', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
78', Taniguchi H. 🟨,
83', Usui S. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
86', Hirakawa R. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
90+1', Sani Brown A. ↓, Wellington ↑,
90+2', Miyahara K. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Saito K. (Yellow Cards) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Tokyo Verdy - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.08%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Avispa Fukuoka - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.48%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
25.10.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWTL
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
26.10.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy	0:0
20.07.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy	0:1
28.04.24	Tokyo Verdy - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
Japan J2 League
25.11.20	Tokyo Verdy - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1
12.08.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy	1:3
02.11.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy	2:0
11.05.19	Tokyo Verdy - Avispa Fukuoka	3:2

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