Match Info

J1 League - Round 1

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.96	Watch
	3.63	3.7	2.08
	3.18	3.41	2.19	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.62	3.6	2.03	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.44)	3.55 ↑ (3.34)	2.03 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
27%

Draw
26.5%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28.3%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	21.4%	78.6%

V Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - V-Varen Nagasaki (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Hiroshima (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goto M. (G) 50. Shindo R. 48. Teruyama H. 6. Egawa Y. 22. Onaga H. 5. Yamaguchi H. 34. Matsumoto T. 8. Iwasaki Y. 10. Matheus Jesus 41. Hasegawa M. 9. Thiago	1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 3. Yamasaki T. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Matsumoto T. 24. Higashi S. 40. Ohara M. 11. Kato M. 10. Suzuki A.
Substitutes
11. Campbell N. 21. Diego Pituca 13. Hatano G. (G) 33. Kasayanagi T. 25. Kushibiki K. 19. Sawada T. 38. Tadokoro R. 18. Yamasaki R. 23. Yoneda S.	13. Arai N. 30. Arslan T. 9. Germain R. 17. Kinoshita K. 41. Maeda N. 39. Nakamura S. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 16. Shichi T. 18. Suga D.
Coaches
Takagi T.	Gaul B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Nakano S. ⚽, Shiotani T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Matsumoto T. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Suzuki A. ⚽,
54', 0 - 3, Kawabe H. ⚽, Higashi S. (A),
58', Onaga H. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
64', Ohara M. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
65', Kato M. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
74', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Campbell N. ↑,
74', Higashi S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
74', Suzuki A. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Campbell N. (A),
85', Thiago ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
90+2', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Maeda N. ↑,

Preview

Hiroshima will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 10.48% V-Varen Nagasaki: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8
18	V-Varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4:9	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Tokushima Vortis - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ehime - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:4 ✺
02.11.25	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Imabari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWLT
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
AFC Champions League
10.12.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.11.25	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
11.08.18	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0
28.04.18	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2

Upcoming Matches