Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Lemonsoft Stadion (Vaasa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	VIFK		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.85	1.8
	2.94	4.71	1.79
	3.04	4.85	1.79	Watch
	2.9	4.65	1.76
	2.97	3.87	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (6.01)	4.39 ↓ (5.2)	1.84 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VIFK
29.8%

Draw
20.7%

Gnistan
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

17.7%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

13%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VIFK's performance.

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gnistan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VIFK than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VIFK that the model has picked up on.

The ML Model estimate for Gnistan aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

VIFK - Gnistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. VIFK will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gnistan will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soderstrom F. (C) 3. Aalto B. 66. Gronberg M. 19. Gustafson M. 11. Hassinen S. 2. Kankaanpaa L. 4. Kass A. 31. Koskela V. 88. Laine S. 5. Lindholm F. 10. Suomela C.	1. Virtanen Espejo I. (G) 77. Byrne K. 20. Gurung D. 26. Karkkainen S. 12. Kraemer A. 4. Laine I. 10. Leppioja J. (C) 16. Lindroth A. 27. Raisanen L. 7. Rita J. 14. Tiainen D.
Substitutes
24. Boling M. 7. Gustafsson A. 22. Isokoski V. 90. Kolu N. (G) 6. Kronholm E. 20. Rehn K. 23. Rimpila T. 17. Varala N.	23. Ferm S. (G) 3. Heikkila S. 8. Kemppainen S. 5. Koota V. 19. Laurinkoski H. 18. Martikainen O. 28. Pohjanoksa A. 31. Salmela A. 9. Tarkiainen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Karkkainen S. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Kraemer A. ⚽, Rita J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gurung D. ↓, Kemppainen S. ↑,
46', Karkkainen S. ↓, Salmela A. ↑,
46', Lindholm F. ↓, Varala N. ↑,
64', Kass A. ↓, Rimpila T. ↑,
80', Gronberg M. ↓, Gustafsson A. ↑,
80', Byrne K. ↓, Martikainen O. ↑,
86', Kankaanpaa L. 🟨,
86', Kraemer A. ↓, Laurinkoski H. ↑,
86', Leppioja J. ↓, Tarkiainen P. ↑,
89', Koskela V. ↓, Isokoski V. ↑,
90', Tarkiainen P. 🟨,
90+2', Aalto B. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group: ))

VIFK has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gnistan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gnistan is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, VIFK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gnistan W	22	5	1	16	29:56	-27	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VIFK Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
27.06.26	KuPS - VIFK	5:1 ✺
14.06.26	VIFK - Ilves	0:3 ✺
29.05.26	HJK - VIFK	4:0 ✺
21.05.26	VIFK - Åland United	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	PK-35 Vantaa - VIFK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- IF Gnistan Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
27.06.26	Gnistan - PK-35 Vantaa	3:0 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
17.06.26	Gnistan - KuPS	0:2 ✺
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
13.06.26	HPS - Gnistan	4:0 ✺
31.05.26	Gnistan - Åland United	1:4 ✺
22.05.26	KuPS - Gnistan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
02.05.26	Gnistan - VIFK	6:0

VIFK - Gnistan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide