The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPS 83.8%
Draw 10.2%
Gnistan 5.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.5%
18.3%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75.1%
16.9%
11.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPS's performance.
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gnistan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPS than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPS that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gnistan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HPS - Gnistan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roine V. (G) 20. Jaaskelainen O. 12. Kamppi P. 8. Kinnunen A. 15. Oksanen V. 11. Paakkari E. 14. Perttula T. 9. Rinkinen H. 16. Simonen A. (C) 17. Sinivuori F. 19. Stark T.
1. Virtanen Espejo I. (G) 77. Byrne K. 20. Gurung D. 3. Heikkila S. 5. Koota V. 19. Laurinkoski H. 10. Leppioja J. (C) 16. Lindroth A. 27. Raisanen L. 31. Salmela A. 14. Tiainen D.
Substitutes
7. Kahre O. 2. Kataja M. 13. Kohtamaki A. 23. Korpela T. (G) 29. Lamberg A. 77. Punsar M. 21. Puolakka L. 5. Reis O. 4. Welling E.
25. Jokinen S. (G) 26. Karkkainen S. 22. Kattelus A. 8. Kemppainen S. 18. Martikainen O. 13. Merjamo N. 21. Noguera I. 28. Pohjanoksa A. 9. Tarkiainen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Stark T. ⚽, Rinkinen H. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Kinnunen A. ⚽, Paakkari E. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Kamppi P. ⚽, Paakkari E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Heikkila S. ↓, Pohjanoksa A. ↑,
46', Laurinkoski H. ↓, Kemppainen S. ↑,
62', Roine V. ↓, Korpela T. ↑,
62', Kamppi P. ↓, Kohtamaki A. ↑,
68', Salmela A. ↓, Karkkainen S. ↑,
73', Rinkinen H. ↓, Kahre O. ↑,
73', Jaaskelainen O. ↓, Kataja M. ↑,
80', Tiainen D. ↓, Tarkiainen P. ↑,
81', Sinivuori F. ↓, Punsar M. ↑,
87', (Penalty Awarded),
87', 4 - 0, Punsar M. ⚽,
89', Gurung D. ↓, Noguera I. ↑,
Preview
HPS is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Gnistan has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, HPS has faced a series of away games on the road.
The betting markets point to HPS as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, HPS has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:2 (averaging 3:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HPS against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.
Finland
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Roine V. (G) 
Byrne K. 
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