The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPS 70.6%
Draw 16.5%
Gnistan 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
20.4%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
19.7%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPS's performance.
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gnistan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPS than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPS that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gnistan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HPS - Gnistan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roine V. (G) 20. Jaaskelainen O. 7. Kahre O. 8. Kinnunen A. 13. Kohtamaki A. 11. Paakkari E. 77. Punsar M. 5. Reis O. 16. Simonen A. 17. Sinivuori F. 4. Welling E.
23. Ferm S. (G) 77. Byrne K. 3. Heikkila S. 26. Karkkainen S. 8. Kemppainen S. 12. Kraemer A. 16. Lindroth A. 18. Martikainen O. 27. Raisanen L. 7. Rita J. 14. Tiainen D.
Substitutes
12. Kamppi P. 2. Kataja M. 23. Korpela T. (G) 29. Lamberg A. 24. Nurminen M. 15. Oksanen V. 21. Puolakka L. 26. Talka M. 10. Xiang Q.
20. Gurung D. 4. Laine I. 19. Laurinkoski H. 10. Leppioja J. 28. Pohjanoksa A. 9. Tarkiainen P. 1. Virtanen Espejo I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Paakkari E. ⚽,
44', Raisanen L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Welling E. ↓, Nurminen M. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Kahre O. ⚽, Sinivuori F. (A),
59', 3 - 0, Punsar M. ⚽, Sinivuori F. (A),
59', Karkkainen S. ↓, Leppioja J. ↑,
62', Jaaskelainen O. ↓, Kataja M. ↑,
62', Kohtamaki A. ↓, Oksanen V. ↑,
66', Kahre O. ↓, Lamberg A. ↑,
67', Kemppainen S. 🟨,
68', Kemppainen S. ↓, Laurinkoski H. ↑,
73', Punsar M. ↓, Xiang Q. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Kataja M. ⚽,
89', Byrne K. ↓, Tarkiainen P. ↑,
90+3', Kraemer A. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group: )).
Recent performances by HPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gnistan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
HPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, HPS is the clear favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, HPS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Finland
Watch
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Roine V. (G) 
Byrne K. 
Kraemer A. 
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