The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gnistan 8.8%
Draw 13.7%
KuPS 77.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.2%
20.7%
63.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.4%
19.7%
66.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gnistan's form might have worsened.
KuPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KuPS's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gnistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KuPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gnistan - KuPS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Ferm S. (G) 77. Byrne K. 20. Gurung D. 8. Kemppainen S. 5. Koota V. 12. Kraemer A. 10. Leppioja J. (C) 16. Lindroth A. 27. Raisanen L. 31. Salmela A. 14. Tiainen D.
22. Arpiainen E. (G) 23. Juusela N. 5. Kouva S. 4. Laaksonen S. 2. Leiwo S. 24. Makipelkola E. 17. Nurmi A. (C) 6. Paavilainen L. 27. Perkaus H. 7. Rochi G. 30. Spenazzatto L.
Substitutes
3. Heikkila S. 26. Karkkainen S. 22. Kattelus A. 19. Laurinkoski H. 18. Martikainen O. 21. Noguera I. 28. Pohjanoksa A. 9. Tarkiainen P. 1. Virtanen Espejo I. (G)
20. Harmaala A. 12. Hautamaki N. (G) 13. Kauppila A.-M. 10. Kroger A. 8. Oruetxebarria N. 25. Partanen A. 11. Pulkkanen A. 18. Ukkonen P. 16. Viinikka T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Kemppainen S. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Nurmi A. ⚽,
15', Kraemer A. 🟨,
16', 0 - 2, Rochi G. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Leiwo S. 🟨,
44', Kraemer A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 0 - 3, Juusela N. ⚽,
51', 0 - 4, Rochi G. ⚽,
60', Rochi G. ↓, Kroger A. ↑,
60', Makipelkola E. ↓, Oruetxebarria N. ↑,
61', Kemppainen S. ↓, Laurinkoski H. ↑,
61', Salmela A. ↓, Martikainen O. ↑,
64', Leiwo S. ↓, Harmaala A. ↑,
64', Laaksonen S. ↓, Ukkonen P. ↑,
73', 0 - 5, Juusela N. ⚽,
73', Nurmi A. ↓, Kauppila A.-M. ↑,
75', Leppioja J. ↓, Karkkainen S. ↑,
75', Tiainen D. ↓, Heikkila S. ↑,
87', Byrne K. ↓, Noguera I. ↑,
Preview
Gnistan has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by KuPS have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The betting markets point to KuPS as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:7 (averaging 0.3:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gnistan against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:3 goals (averaging 0:1.5 per game).
Finland
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Ferm S. (G) 
Byrne K. 
Kraemer A. 
Rochi G. 
Spenazzatto L. 
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