Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Championship Group

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Gnistan		Åland United

	1	X	2
	6.25	5.25	1.31
	6.8	5.15	1.28
	6.09	5.42	1.31
	6.41	5.6	1.32	Watch
	6.75	4.5	1.3
	6.78	4.96	1.37
	6.25	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↑ (6.4)	5.13 ↑ (5)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
13.9%

Draw
17.6%

Åland United
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

17.8%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

17%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gnistan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Åland United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åland United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Gnistan - Åland United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Virtanen Espejo I. (G) 77. Byrne K. 20. Gurung D. 5. Koota V. 12. Kraemer A. 4. Laine I. 16. Lindroth A. 18. Martikainen O. (C) 27. Raisanen L. 31. Salmela A. 14. Tiainen D.	13. Sundelius C. (G) 3. Degerstedt E. 8. Hagstrom M. (C) 44. Hillberg S. 21. Hordijk C. 6. Jaatinen S. 5. Nurmi A. 19. Pitko N. 16. Takanen M. 15. Veber V. 10. Vetter J.
Substitutes
23. Ferm S. (G) 26. Karkkainen S. 22. Kattelus A. 8. Kemppainen S. 19. Laurinkoski H. 10. Leppioja J. 28. Pohjanoksa A. 7. Rita J. 9. Tarkiainen P.	11. Antikainen N. 18. Hansell E. 1. Niiranen L. (G) 22. Nordberg O. 2. Ratts A. 9. Sarjanoja I. 14. Torronen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Nurmi A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Tiainen D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
55', 1 - 1, Pitko N. ⚽,
61', Koota V. ↓, Rita J. ↑,
61', Salmela A. ↓, Kemppainen S. ↑,
64', Nurmi A. ↓, Antikainen N. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Degerstedt E. ⚽, Takanen M. (A),
72', Raisanen L. ↓, Leppioja J. ↑,
74', Veber V. ↓, Sarjanoja I. ↑,
78', Gurung D. 🟨,
79', 1 - 3, Vetter J. ⚽,
84', Byrne K. ↓, Pohjanoksa A. ↑,
84', Gurung D. ↓, Laurinkoski H. ↑,
87', Vetter J. ↓, Torronen A. ↑,
87', Pitko N. ↓, Nordberg O. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Pohjanoksa A. ⚽,

Preview

Gnistan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Åland United is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Åland United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Åland United is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Including home match between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aland Utd W	22	14	1	7	56:30	26	43
6	Gnistan W	22	5	1	16	29:56	-27	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
15.08.26	Ilves - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Gnistan - HJK	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Gnistan - KuPS	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Ilves - Gnistan	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	Gnistan - HJK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLTL
- Åland United
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
16.08.26	Åland United - HPS	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Åland United - VIFK	6:1 ✺
18.07.26	KuPS - Åland United	1:3 ✺
12.07.26	Åland United - PK-35 Vantaa	4:1 ✺
04.07.26	Ilves - Åland United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
31.05.26	Gnistan - Åland United	1:4

Gnistan - Åland United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide