Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Myyrmaen jalkapallostadion (Vantaa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	VJS Vantaa		OLS

	1	X	2
	1.70	4.10	3.50
	1.70	4.10	3.50
	1.62	4.00	4.10
	1.80	4.30	3.93
	1.62	4.42	4.13	Watch
	1.71	4.25	3.85
	1.78	4.28	3.66
	1.65	4.15	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.02)	4.2 ↑ (3.6)	3.77 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VJS Vantaa
53.9%

Draw
21.8%

OLS
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

25%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

24.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VJS Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VJS Vantaa's performance.

OLS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and OLS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VJS Vantaa than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VJS Vantaa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OLS than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OLS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

VJS Vantaa - OLS Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. VJS will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). OLS will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muurinen T. (G) 25. Aku A. 97. Babiker A. 20. Hannula E. 15. Hvidberg D. 10. Kaijasilta N. 29. Koivunen K. 6. Mabinda J. 4. Marin M. (C) 17. Merinen J. 11. Rahja J.	62. Backman T. (G) 31. Babb M. 4. Ilola L. 40. Korhonen J. 51. Lamsa O. 79. Leevi L. 45. Merikanto E. 15. Parkkila O. 38. Polvi J. 47. Raittinen E. 83. Teppo L.
Substitutes
8. Achenchab A. 28. Crane O. 99. Holopainen J. 3. Koponen T. 24. Kumpulainen U. 9. Nyholm A. 58. Ojala O. 19. Salo V. 23. Tynkkynen J. (G)	56. Ablade T. 23. Ala-Iso S. 76. Arvola I. 90. Eronen E. 57. Fyrsten M. (G) 86. Korkala A. 37. Piirto L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Rahja J. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Merikanto E. ⚽,
43', Hvidberg D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
55', Fyrsten M. 🟨,
56', Teppo L. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
62', 3 - 1, Hannula E. ⚽,
62', Leevi L. ↓, Ala-Iso S. ↑,
62', Lamsa O. ↓, Korkala A. ↑,
66', Rahja J. ↓, Achenchab A. ↑,
66', Hvidberg D. ↓, Holopainen J. ↑,
68', Mabinda J. 🟨,
73', Polvi J. ↓, Ablade T. ↑,
73', Ala-Iso S. ↓, Arvola I. ↑,
74', Koivunen K. ↓, Salo V. ↑,
74', Kaijasilta N. ↓, Ojala O. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Ojala O. ⚽,
80', 4 - 2, Merikanto E. ⚽,
80', Babb M. ↓, Eronen E. ↑,
87', 4 - 3, Ablade T. ⚽,
90+2', Babiker A. ↓, Koponen T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, VJS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, VJS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	OLS Oulu	25	11	8	6	50:37	13	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VJS Vantaa
Finnish Ykkonen
04.07.26	Salon Palloilijat - VJS Vantaa	2:2 ✺
29.06.26	VJS Vantaa - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	VJS Vantaa - RoPS	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Jazz Pori - VJS Vantaa	1:1 ✺
02.06.26	JJK Jyväskylä - VJS Vantaa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLTT
- OLS Oulu
Finnish Ykkonen
04.07.26	OLS - Inter Turku II	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	OLS - KuPS Akatemia	2:2 ✺
11.06.26	Tampere United - OLS	3:0 ✺
06.06.26	OLS - Salon Palloilijat	5:0 ✺
02.06.26	RoPS - OLS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
11.04.26	OLS - VJS Vantaa	1:0

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