Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Salon urheilupuisto (Salo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Salon Palloilijat		VJS Vantaa

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.60	2.38
	2.37	3.50	2.37
	2.10	3.60	2.80
	2.50	4.29	2.45
	2.13	3.85	2.79	Watch
	2.30	4.20	2.40
	2.49	3.77	2.49
	2.35	3.60	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	3.8 ↑ (3.55)	2.51 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salon Palloilijat
39.4%

Draw
24.1%

VJS Vantaa
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.4%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salon Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

VJS Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VJS Vantaa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Salon Palloilijat - VJS Vantaa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. SalPa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). VJS will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Munukka A. (G) 4. Dementjeff T. 20. Jakonen O. 13. Kostian J. 9. Lulli M. 3. Meura J. (C) 6. Ndakala J. 18. Poysa S. 7. Rrustemi E. 28. Seidu S. 10. Voca G.	23. Tynkkynen J. (G) 97. Babiker A. 22. Blommendahl O. 20. Hannula E. 15. Hvidberg D. 10. Kaijasilta N. 29. Koivunen K. 3. Koponen T. 6. Mabinda J. 4. Marin M. (C) 11. Rahja J.
Substitutes
15. Heikkila J. 22. Kadowaki S. 24. Miyazaki Y. 17. Mohammadi M. 5. Pan L. 14. Ranta A. 12. Rintamaki O. (G) 11. Rrustemi E. 23. Ruponen R.	8. Achenchab A. 25. Aku A. 99. Holopainen J. 12. Kamara S. 17. Merinen J. 1. Muurinen T. (G) 9. Nyholm A. 58. Ojala O. 19. Salo V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Voca G. (Penalty Awarded),
11', 1 - 1, Babiker A. ⚽,
29', Blommendahl O. 🟨,
32', 2 - 1, Jakonen O. ⚽,
38', Mabinda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mabinda J. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
46', Blommendahl O. ↓, Merinen J. ↑,
54', 2 - 2, Kaijasilta N. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Lulli M. ↓, Miyazaki Y. ↑,
62', Kostian J. ↓, Kadowaki S. ↑,
68', Babiker A. ↓, Ojala O. ↑,
68', Rahja J. ↓, Holopainen J. ↑,
77', Marin M. 🟨,
78', Jakonen O. 🟨,
82', Merinen J. 🟨,
84', Voca G. ↓, Rrustemi E. ↑,
85', Hvidberg D. ↓, Achenchab A. ↑,
87', Rrustemi E. ↓, Ruponen R. ↑,
90', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

SalPa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

VJS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SalPa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SalPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	SalPa	25	12	6	7	52:45	7	42

Last Results with these Odds

Salon Palloilijat - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salon Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
27.06.26	RoPS - Salon Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
12.06.26	Salon Palloilijat - KuPS Akatemia	4:3 ✺
06.06.26	OLS - Salon Palloilijat	5:0 ✺
28.05.26	Jazz Pori - Salon Palloilijat	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Salon Palloilijat - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWW
- VJS Vantaa
Finnish Ykkonen
29.06.26	VJS Vantaa - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	VJS Vantaa - RoPS	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Jazz Pori - VJS Vantaa	1:1 ✺
02.06.26	JJK Jyväskylä - VJS Vantaa	2:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	Honka - VJS Vantaa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
18.04.26	VJS Vantaa - Salon Palloilijat	1:1
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
20.08.22	VJS Vantaa - Salon Palloilijat	0:2
29.05.22	Salon Palloilijat - VJS Vantaa	2:1
16.10.21	VJS Vantaa - Salon Palloilijat	0:1
30.06.21	Salon Palloilijat - VJS Vantaa	1:2

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