Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA - CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday


	Honka		Inter Turku

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.15	3.35	3.45	Watch
	2.17	3.43	3.62
	2.17	3.43	3.63
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.12	3.38	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.8)	3.31 ↓ (3.8)	3.48 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka
44.5%

Draw
28.5%

Inter Turku
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

22.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Honka's form might have worsened.

Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Turku's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Honka - Inter Turku Predictions

Users Predictions: Honka will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudakov M. (C) 26. Naamo D. 21. Koski V. 3. Ojala J. 20. Rale M. 15. Arko-Mensah E. 8. Jansen K. 11. Krebs F. 9. Wurtz J. 17. Laine L. 13. Eremenko R.	13. Huuhtanen E. (G) 25. Arciero R. 3. Hamalainen J. 4. Almen M. 19. Jarvinen I. 16. Jyry T. (C) 17. Ampofo B. 6. Legbo D. 24. Stavitski T. 9. Smith D. 10. Forsell P.
Substitutes
5. Aalto H. 24. Banahene N. 23. Hernandez A. 16. Muzinga J. 32. Ortiz L. 12. Paunio R. (G) 48. Ulundu V.	31. Diallo B. 28. Kouame A. 2. Niska J. 30. Purosalo V. 12. Riikonen M. (G) 23. Rokman D. 21. Tamminen M.
Coaches
Vasara V.	Wiss J.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 5 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honka won 3.

Honka is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Inter Turku has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Honka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 29 head-to-head matches Honka won 17 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 45-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Honka won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.10.23	Honka - Inter Turku	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	KuPS Kuopio - Honka	3:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
30.09.23	Honka - Ilves	1:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.09.23	HJK - Honka	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL
- Inter Turku
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.10.23	Honka - Inter Turku	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Inter Turku - SJK	1:2 ✺
29.09.23	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	HJK - Inter Turku	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.10.23	Honka - Inter Turku	3:0
13.08.23	Honka - Inter Turku	1:0
03.06.23	Inter Turku - Honka	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
11.02.23	Honka - Inter Turku	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
06.10.22	Honka - Inter Turku	2:1
25.07.22	Inter Turku - Honka	0:1
07.05.22	Honka - Inter Turku	2:1

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