Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA - CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Honka		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3	2.7
	2.7	3.05	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3.14	2.9
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.62	3.16	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.34)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	2.74 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka
35.5%

Draw
30.4%

VPS Vaasa
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

30.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honka than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Honka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VPS Vaasa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Honka - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Honka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). VPS will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudakov M. (G) 26. Naamo D. 21. Koski V. 23. Hernandez A. 5. Aalto H. (C) 32. Ortiz L. 13. Eremenko R. 11. Krebs F. 15. Arko-Mensah E. 17. Laine L. 9. Wurtz J.	1. Marttinen T. (G) 5. Pitkanen M. 3. Pikkarainen J. 25. Lindeman S. 20. Reid T. 21. Ahiabu P. 34. Raisanen A. 4. Engstrom J. (C) 14. Michael P. 44. Bashkirov E. 18. Sawyer H.
Substitutes
47. Aijala E. 24. Banahene N. 16. Muzinga J. 3. Ojala J. 12. Paunio R. (G) 14. Saarikivi N. 48. Ulundu V.	77. Alanko S. 28. Hudd R. 13. Mensah B. 23. Niemi M. 11. Savio Roberto 8. Strandvall S. 15. Viscosi J. (G)
Coaches
Vasara V.	Nuorela J.

Preview

1st leg.

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

VPS is Qualified for Europa Conference League (Qualification )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honka won 3.

Recent matches Honka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

VPS in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Honka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Honka have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Honka won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Honka won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.10.23	Honka - Oulu	5:0 ✺
25.10.23	Honka - Inter Turku	1:0 penalties ✺
21.10.23	Honka - Inter Turku	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	KuPS Kuopio - Honka	3:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
30.09.23	Honka - Ilves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.10.23	SJK - VPS Vaasa	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	VPS Vaasa - HJK	3:2 ✺
29.09.23	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	0:3 ✺
17.09.23	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.09.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	0:3
27.06.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	1:0
29.04.23	VPS Vaasa - Honka	0:0
30.07.22	Honka - VPS Vaasa	4:0
22.06.22	VPS Vaasa - Honka	0:1
Finnish Cup
13.03.21	VPS Vaasa - Honka	0:4
Finnish Veikkausliiga
03.08.19	VPS Vaasa - Honka	2:3

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