Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Markku.fi Areena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	PK-35 Vantaa		KTP Kotka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.70	3.25	2.25
	2.75	3.65	2.61
	2.62	3.6	2.47	Watch
	2.70	3.25	2.55
	2.62	3.56	2.46
	2.55	3.30	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.88)	3.44 ↓ (3.53)	2.45 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PK-35 Vantaa
35%

Draw
27.1%

KTP Kotka
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.3%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PK-35 Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PK-35 Vantaa than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KTP Kotka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

PK 35 Vantaa - KTP Kotka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramula A. (G) 27. Ahmed-Nur A. 34. Andberg T. (C) 3. Forsstrom A. 6. Nakanishi J. 88. Pikkuhookana J. 18. Pitkala E. 21. Rasanen K. 9. Sadik I. 2. Sipi R. 23. Uchiyama S.	33. Zhuk M. (G) 4. Chibuzor C. 8. Coker M. 18. Eloluoto O. 10. Forsell P. 7. Makela J. (C) 9. Ogunkoya P. 26. Paavola M. 30. Puhakainen L. 13. Tahmbi N. 37. Tanaka A.
Substitutes
4. Abdi A. 12. Azabani D. (G) 8. Costa J. 14. Kawakita E. 25. Kivela A. (G) 22. Lokake L. 24. Ndaziramiye N. 10. Salmensuu O. 19. Tolonen M.	11. Haapalainen R. 21. Hanninen O. 5. Holtta S. 25. Leikas J. (G) 19. Polat R. 29. Ruohio A. 14. Sunday G. 20. Tulehmo A.
Coaches
Santos T.	Pasoja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Forsstrom A. 🟥,
25', 0 - 1, Forsell P. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Uchiyama S. 🟥,
33', Sadik I. ↓, Lokake L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pitkala E. ↓, Tolonen M. ↑,
46', Pikkuhookana J. ↓, Costa J. ↑,
46', Nakanishi J. ↓, Ndaziramiye N. ↑,
59', Ramula A. 🟨,
62', Eloluoto O. ↓, Polat R. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Forsell P. ⚽,
79', Tanaka A. ↓, Hanninen O. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Hanninen O. ⚽,
87', Ogunkoya P. ↓, Ruohio A. ↑,
87', Forsell P. ↓, Haapalainen R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PK-35 won 1.

PK-35 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

KTP is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with KTP holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, PK-35 has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:24 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for PK-35 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:9 goals (averaging 0.6:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	KTP ✔	25	18	4	3	45:22	23	58
2	PK-35	25	14	7	4	41:18	23	49

Last Results with these Odds

PK-35 Vantaa - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.01%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PK-35 Vantaa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
11.09.26	KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa	1:4 ✺
04.09.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PK-35 Vantaa	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	PK-35 Vantaa - JäPS	3:0 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Klubi 04	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWT
- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
11.09.26	KTP Kotka - JäPS	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.07.26	KTP Kotka - PK-35 Vantaa	0:1
24.04.26	PK-35 Vantaa - KTP Kotka	0:1
12.08.24	KTP Kotka - PK-35 Vantaa	2:1
29.06.24	KTP Kotka - PK-35 Vantaa	1:0
28.04.24	PK-35 Vantaa - KTP Kotka	1:5
Finnish Ykkoscup
02.03.24	KTP Kotka - PK-35 Vantaa	2:4
Finnish Ykkonen
03.09.22	PK-35 Vantaa - KTP Kotka	0:1

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