Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vado		Campobasso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.72	2.92	2.55	Watch
	3.14	3.04	2.44
	2.65	3	2.65	Watch
	3.10	2.95	2.40
	3.05	3.15	2.36	Watch
	2.70	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.62)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)	2.49 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
32.2%

Draw
30.7%

Campobasso
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

30.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-2%)

Vado - Campobasso Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bellocci A. (G) 17. Lazzarini M. 18. Piana L. 5. Saltarelli M. 32. Ghezzi A. 28. Hamlili Z. 27. Hergheligiu D. 29. Saiani F. 31. Ferro M. 25. Candiano M. 11. Vita D. (C)	1. Spurio A. (G) 27. Cristallo C. 2. Papini F. 4. Celesia C. 30. Coccia L. 18. Pierno R. 34. Agazzi D. 5. Gargiulo M. 10. Stoppa M. 7. Isaac Prado 14. Bifulco A. (C)
Substitutes
81. Agostino N. 80. Bruno K. 1. Calvani S. (G) 3. Carlini C. 95. Cernigoi I. 2. Dellepiane L. 20. De Rinaldis M. 21. Di Munno A. 14. Gulinelli F. 99. Lionetti G. 39. Malanca L. 97. Rosa F. 16. Sala A. (G) 10. Simonetta J.	22. Apsits R. (G) 77. Aragona C. 19. Blasi L. 33. Capoferri M. 11. Carfora L. 95. Corbo G. 8. Di Vico R. 92. Galeandro A. 70. Leonardi S. 28. Maisto F. 99. Muzi C. (G) 23. Pellitteri A.
Coaches
Pastorino M.	Mangia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Stoppa M. ⚽, Bifulco A. (A),
38', Celesia C. ↓, Corbo G. ↑,
44', Pierno R. 🟨,
45', Papini F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hergheligiu D. ↓, Lionetti G. ↑,
52', Papini F. 🟨,
56', Pierno R. ↓, Capoferri M. ↑,
56', Stoppa M. ↓, Pellitteri A. ↑,
72', Hamlili Z. ↓, Cernigoi I. ↑,
72', Ferro M. ↓, Simonetta J. ↑,
79', Isaac Prado ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
79', Bifulco A. ↓, Carfora L. ↑,
80', Saiani F. ↓, Carlini C. ↑,
90', Lazzarini M. ↓, Dellepiane L. ↑,
90+13', Spurio A. 🟨,
90+14', Vita D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Vado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Campobasso has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Campobasso	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12
14	Vado	8	2	2	4	6:8	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Campobasso - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.37%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.26	Reggiana - Vado	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Spezia - Vado	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
28.08.26	Pianese - Vado	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Vado - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Vado - Inter U23	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLTWW
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
05.09.26	Campobasso - Gubbio	2:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Campobasso - Scafatese	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Spezia - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Campobasso - Pianese	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Campobasso - Cavese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWW

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