Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Referee: Esposito C. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Vado		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.20	2.35
	2.60	3.00	2.40
	2.67	3.25	2.74
	2.71	3.27	2.43	Watch
	2.60	3.00	2.70
	2.60	3.33	2.60	Watch
	2.60	3.20	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.65)	3.18 ↓ (3.22)	2.53 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
34.9%

Draw
28.8%

Forlì
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

28.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.9%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Vado - Forlì Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vado (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vado (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bellocci A. (G) 17. Lazzarini M. 14. Gulinelli F. 5. Saltarelli M. 97. Rosa F. 28. Hamlili Z. 27. Hergheligiu D. 20. De Rinaldis M. 29. Saiani F. 31. Ferro M. 11. Vita D. (C)	12. Theiner D. (G) 35. Diop S. 15. Valentini F. 95. Munaretti L. 11. Farinelli N. 10. Macri D. (C) 6. De Risio C. 8. Rosetti M. 21. Mattioli G. 7. Petrelli E. 19. Gabellini T.
Substitutes
80. Bruno K. 1. Calvani S. (G) 25. Candiano M. 3. Carlini C. 95. Cernigoi I. 2. Dellepiane L. 99. Lionetti G. 9. Lischetti L. 18. Piana L. 16. Sala A. (G) 10. Simonetta J. 4. Viti M.	9. Coveri V. 2. Mandrelli N. 22. Martelli L. (G) 36. Onofri M. 18. Perini G. 30. Perretta G. 33. Rossi D. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 17. Spinelli A. 1. Tagliaferri A. (G) 99. Tordiglione N. 4. Valentini F.
Coaches
Riolfo G.	Campedelli N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Rosa F. ⚽,
43', Macri D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', De Rinaldis M. ↓, Simonetta J. ↑,
56', Vita D. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
62', Bellocci A. 🟨,
66', De Risio C. ↓, Coveri V. ↑,
73', Mattioli G. ↓, Perretta G. ↑,
73', Gabellini T. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
80', Simonetta J. ↓, Piana L. ↑,
83', Hamlili Z. 🟨,
87', Rosetti M. ↓, Valentini F. ↑,
87', Valentini F. ↓, Tordiglione N. ↑,
88', Saiani F. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
88', Rosa F. ↓, Carlini C. ↑,
89', Lischetti L. 🟨,
90+4', Piana L. 🟨,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Serie C - Play Out and 8th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

Vado is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Forlì has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Forli	8	2	4	2	13:12	1	10
14	Vado	8	2	2	4	6:8	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie C Group B
26.09.26	Sassari Torres - Vado	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Vado - Pescara	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Livorno - Vado	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Vado - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Reggiana - Vado	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLL
- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.26	Ostia Mare - Forlì	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Forlì - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Pineto - Forlì	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Latina - Forlì	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTWL

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