Match Info

LaLiga - Round 1

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Camp Nou (Barcelona)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 3, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 2
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Australia	beIN Sports 3
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Usa	ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Barcelona		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	1.2	7	12	Watch
	1.24	7.00	9.75
	1.23	6.1	12.5	Watch
	1.24	7.38	13.48
	1.23	7.1	11.14	Watch
	1.19	7.25	13
	1.26	7.06	12.4	Watch
	1.24	7.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.4)	7.01 ↑ (5.11)	11.91 ↑ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
78.2%

Draw
13.7%

Athletic Bilbao
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

18.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona's performance.

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	7.3%	3.6%

Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Barcelona (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Athletic (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (49 of 55 users predict this - 89.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.85% – 97.33%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 6 - 75%). Athletic (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia J. (G) 24. Garcia E. 5. Cubarsi P. 18. Martin G. 12. Espart X. 22. Bernal M. 8. Pedri 10. Lamine Yamal 7. Fermín 17. Gordon A. 11. Raphinha (C)	1. Simon U. (G) 15. Rincon H. 5. Alvarez Y. 14. Laporte A. 31. Louis-Jean J. 18. Jauregizar M. 28. Canales P. 9. Williams I. (C) 8. Sancet O. 10. Williams N. 11. Guruzeta G.
Substitutes
29. Abdelkarim H. 14. Adeyemi K. 31. Aller E. (G) 3. Balde A. 2. Cancelo J. 15. Christensen A. 28. Farinas B. 23. Kounde J. 20. Olmo D. 16. Rodri 13. Szczesny W. (G)	12. Areso J. 7. Berenguer A. 19. Boiro A. 25. Djalo A. 24. Gerenabarrena B. 30. Monreal I. 23. Navarro R. 13. Padilla A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 20. Rego A. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 21. Sannadi M.
Coaches
Flick H.	Terzic E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Espart X. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Raphinha ⚽, Pedri (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
60', Williams I. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
60', Williams N. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
61', Louis-Jean J. 🟨,
63', Raphinha ↓, Rodri ↑,
63', Bernal M. ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
70', Louis-Jean J. ↓, Boiro A. ↑,
70', Jauregizar M. ↓, Gerenabarrena B. ↑,
80', Garcia E. ↓, Kounde J. ↑,
80', Gordon A. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
81', Guruzeta G. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Fermín ⚽,
85', Pedri ↓, Cancelo J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 5.

Athletic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barcelona is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Barcelona: Bardghji R. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) de Jong F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Berchiche Y. (Red Card) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Thigh Injury) Vivian D. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Casado M. (Coach's decision) Fort H. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Athletic: Serrano N. (Coach's decision)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:16. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:5. (average 2.8:0.6).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Barcelona: 70.96% Ath Bilbao: 0.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31:7	24	21
10	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 68.19%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
23.08.26	Elche - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Barcelona - Al Ahly Cairo	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Basel - Barcelona	2:5 ✺
31.07.26	Birmingham City - Barcelona	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.05.26	Valencia - Barcelona	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
22.08.26	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Burgos - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
29.07.26	Racing Santander - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
25.07.26	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
07.03.26	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	0:1
Spanish Supercopa
07.01.26	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	5:0
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	4:0
25.05.25	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	0:3
Spanish Supercopa
08.01.25	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	0:2
Spanish LaLiga
24.08.24	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	2:1
03.03.24	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	0:0

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