Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Antonio Puchades (Valencia)

Referee: Espinosa A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2


	Valencia		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	4.60	3.70	1.60
	4.20	3.45	1.68	Watch
	4.86	4.33	1.63
	4.36	4.19	1.66	Watch
	4.70	4.45	1.52
	4.70	3.87	1.67
	4.60	3.85	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↓ (5.8)	3.98 ↑ (3.7)	1.62 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
20.1%

Draw
23.1%

Real Sociedad
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

24.1%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

20.1%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valencia - Real Sociedad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Valencia (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Pinguet A. (G) 2. Tamarit S. 5. Martin N. 3. Perez Sanchez L. 18. Saez C. 14. Pauleta (C) 11. Mascarell M. 8. Marin C. 6. Flordelis G. 10. Elloh R. 19. Moral L.	13. Arrula J. (G) 7. Camino 4. Aparicio N. 2. Florentino C. 3. Vicente A. 5. Fernandez P. 20. Campo A. 14. Eguiguren I. 8. Marin Martin A. 10. Eizaguirre N. (C) 11. Marcos C.
Substitutes
4. Fernandez C. 20. Gomez Martinez E. 13. Llacer M. (G) 7. Marcano D. 32. Marchena N. 12. Mbadi A. 17. Morato T. 21. Mrabet Y. K. 9. Prat S.	19. Aparicio A. 22. Cahynova K. 1. Estensoro A. (G) 9. Keefe S. 6. Laborde E. 17. Maren 18. Seelenfreund A.
Coaches
Crespo M.	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Eizaguirre N. ⚽, Eguiguren I. (A),
40', Moral L. 🟨,
45+6', Elloh R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Moral L. ↓, Morato T. ↑,
57', Marin C. ↓, Mbadi A. ↑,
59', Aparicio N. 🟨,
61', Marcos C. ↓, Aparicio A. ↑,
65', Tamarit S. 🟨,
72', Elloh R. ↓, Marcano D. ↑,
72', Mascarell M. ↓, Marchena N. ↑,
73', Pauleta 🟨,
73', Saez C. 🟨,
73', Campo A. ↓, Maren ↑,
73', Marin Martin A. ↓, Seelenfreund A. ↑,
74', Eizaguirre N. ↓, Laborde E. ↑,
79', Eguiguren I. 🟨,
82', Flordelis G. ↓, Mrabet Y. K. ↑,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th in the Relegation - Primera Federacion Women and 15th in the Relegation - Primera Federacion Women).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 2.

Valencia is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Real Sociedad has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Valencia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Real Sociedad is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Real Sociedad in today's match, at odds of 1.75.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Valencia has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:37 (averaging 1.3:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Valencia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 15:18 goals (averaging 1.5:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Real Sociedad W	6	1	2	3	7:11	-4	5
16	Valencia W	6	0	0	6	4:13	-9	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valencia CF Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
27.09.26	Valencia - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Logroño United - Valencia	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Valencia - Madrid CFF	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Sociedad Women
UEFA Europa Cup Women
30.09.26	Real Sociedad - Hearts	4:0 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
26.09.26	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
23.09.26	Hearts - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
19.09.26	Badalona - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Real Sociedad - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
27.04.25	Real Sociedad - Valencia	0:2
12.01.25	Valencia - Real Sociedad	0:2
21.04.24	Valencia - Real Sociedad	3:0
25.11.23	Real Sociedad - Valencia	2:0
22.04.23	Real Sociedad - Valencia	4:0
15.01.23	Valencia - Real Sociedad	2:1
12.01.22	Valencia - Real Sociedad	0:3

Valencia - Real Sociedad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide