Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Poblense		Girona B

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4.15
	1.83	3.5	3.92	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.91	3.34	4.06
	1.9	3.33	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.76)	3.29 ↑ (3.26)	3.94 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poblense
49.1%

Draw
27.7%

Girona B
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.7%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Girona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (-3%)

Poblense - Girona B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Penyafort T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', Alarcon M. 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Poblense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Girona B has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Poblense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Poblense is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poblense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Poblense	5	1	0	4	3:7	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.01.26	Torrent - Poblense	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Porreres - Poblense	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Poblense - Terrassa	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Poblense - Atlètic Lleida	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Poblense - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTWT
- Girona B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.01.26	Girona B - Espanyol B	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Alcoyano - Girona B	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Girona B - Castellon B	7:3 ✺
07.12.25	Valencia B - Girona B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Girona B - Sant Andreu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.09.25	Girona B - Poblense	1:0

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