Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Valenciennes		Angers

	1	X	2
	4.5	2.9	2	Watch
	4.2	3	2
	4.2	3	2	Watch
	4.47	3.15	2.04
	4.47	3.15	2.02
	4.2	3.1	1.95
	4.21	3.2	2	Watch
	4.2	3	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (2.92)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
21.9%

Draw
30.9%

Angers
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.9%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.

Angers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Angers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valenciennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angers than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Angers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Valenciennes - Angers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Angers will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Angers: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Louchet J. (G) 36. Blancquart G. 44. Kayi Sanda J. 15. Woudenberg L. 3. Basse S. 6. Masson J. (C) 8. Banse S. 20. Hamache I. 93. Knockaert A. 90. Oyewusi M. 9. Doucoure S.	30. Fofana Y. (G) 2. Valery Y. 25. Bamba A. 22. Hountondji C. 21. Lefort J. 15. Capelle P. (C) 12. Ould Khaled Z. 27. Rao-Lisoa L. 19. Lepaul E. 28. El Melali F. 9. Diony L.
Substitutes
30. Diabate L. (G) 22. El Amri Y. 96. Flamarion 59. Foe Ondoa M. 18. Jung A. 34. Lilepo M. 13. Moursou J.	14. Belkhdim Y. 29. Camara O. 11. Cherif S. 20. Ferhat Z. 26. Hanin F. 23. Hunou A. 16. Zinga M. (G)
Coaches
Kantari A.	Dujeux A.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Angers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Angers is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
02.03.24	Auxerre - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
28.02.24	Rouen FC - Valenciennes	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
24.02.24	Valenciennes - Rodez	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Dunkerque - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Valenciennes - Laval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLLT
- Angers SCO
French Ligue 2
04.03.24	Angers - Ajaccio	3:1 ✺
26.02.24	Caen - Angers	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Angers - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
10.02.24	Auxerre - Angers	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Angers - Rodez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
04.11.23	Angers - Valenciennes	2:0
13.04.15	Angers - Valenciennes	0:0
03.11.14	Valenciennes - Angers	1:0

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