Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday

Location: Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 4


	Angers		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.88	4.5	Watch
	2.05	2.8	4.33
	2.05	2.8	4.5	Watch
	2.13	2.8	4.8
	2.11	2.9	4.65
	2.05	2.9	4
	2.06	2.97	4.36	Watch
	2.1	2.85	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	2.86 ↓ (3.02)	4.42 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angers
45.6%

Draw
33%

Ajaccio
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

30.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

30.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angers than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	28.1%	9.4%

Angers - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Angers will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Angers: 45.7% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fofana Y. (G) 2. Valery Y. 25. Bamba A. 22. Hountondji C. 21. Lefort J. 15. Capelle P. (C) 12. Ould Khaled Z. 27. Rao-Lisoa L. 10. Abdelli H. 28. El Melali F. 9. Diony L.	1. Michel M. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 5. Vidal C. 21. Avinel C. 3. Quemper S. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 6. Mangani T. (C) 29. Sakhi H. 11. Toure B. 22. Soumano M. 18. Ibayi C.
Substitutes
29. Camara O. 11. Cherif S. 20. Ferhat Z. 26. Hanin F. 23. Hunou A. 19. Lepaul E. 16. Zinga M. (G)	27. Campanini T. 44. Escartin J. 7. Nouri R. 16. Sollacaro F. (G) 31. Strata T. 19. Toure A. 9. Touzghar Y.
Coaches
Dujeux A.	Pantaloni O.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 8).

Angers is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ajaccio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Angers will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Angers won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Angers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angers SCO
French Ligue 2
26.02.24	Caen - Angers	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Angers - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
10.02.24	Auxerre - Angers	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Angers - Rodez	2:1 ✺
29.01.24	Bordeaux - Angers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
24.02.24	Ajaccio - Amiens	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Laval - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ajaccio - Guingamp	3:0 ✺
05.02.24	Bastia - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Ajaccio - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.12.23	Ajaccio - Angers	1:1
French Ligue 1
01.02.23	Angers - Ajaccio	1:2
28.12.22	Ajaccio - Angers	1:0
French Ligue 2
24.04.15	Angers - Ajaccio	1:0
21.11.14	Ajaccio - Angers	1:1

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