Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Ligue 1+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Valenciennes		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	2.90
	2.15	3.15	3.00
	2.42	3.35	3.33
	2.31	3.26	2.83	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.25
	2.18	3.18	3.06
	2.20	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)	3.16 ↑ (3.11)	3.06 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
40.9%

Draw
29.1%

Concarneau
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Valenciennes - Concarneau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Louchet J. (G) 2. Abu D. 5. Passi B. (C) 6. Zogba M. 13. Rocchia C. 8. Rouai M. 19. Marechal T. 27. Amir Z. 21. Marcel V. 11. Ekra R. 18. Courtet G.	1. Viot V. (G) 27. Halby J. 6. Seba D. 24. Divialle C. 5. Etcheverria B. 29. Daou R. 8. Picouleau M. (C) 17. Sidibe A. 23. Goujon L. 14. Rosier L. 9. Janno S.
Substitutes
7. Abi C. 26. Boiteau L. 22. Goprou D. 40. Lacombe J. (G) 24. Lebouath S. 33. Lesueur K. 28. Wahib A.	10. Gbelle G. 22. Macon B. 11. Mercier N. 40. Patron P. (G) 26. Sinquin T. 7. Varvat J. 15. Yatera D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Janno S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sidibe A. ↓, Macon B. ↑,
55', Divialle C. 🟨,
62', Passi B. 🟨,
70', Courtet G. ↓, Abi C. ↑,
72', Rosier L. ↓, Mercier N. ↑,
78', Amir Z. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
78', Marcel V. ↓, Boiteau L. ↑,
79', Janno S. ↓, Varvat J. ↑,
87', Rocchia C. ↓, Wahib A. ↑,
87', Ekra R. ↓, Lesueur K. ↑,
90+4', Goujon L. ↓, Gbelle G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Valenciennes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	4	16
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Valenciennes - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.88%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
20.08.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Valenciennes - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Caen - Valenciennes	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Valenciennes - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	Eastleigh - Valenciennes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLTW
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
20.08.26	Concarneau - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Quevilly - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Concarneau - Orleans	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Laval - Concarneau	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Brest - Concarneau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
20.03.26	Concarneau - Valenciennes	1:2
17.10.25	Valenciennes - Concarneau	1:2
21.02.25	Concarneau - Valenciennes	1:1
20.09.24	Valenciennes - Concarneau	3:3
French Ligue 2
03.02.24	Concarneau - Valenciennes	1:0
26.09.23	Valenciennes - Concarneau	0:1

Valenciennes - Concarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide