Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Valenciennes		Fleury 91

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.10	2.87
	2.08	3.20	3.10
	2.33	3.40	3.30
	2.3	3.26	2.84
	2.30	3.10	3.25
	2.29	3.33	3.02
	2.27	3.15	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.24)	3.22 ↑ (3.16)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
41%

Draw
28.7%

Fleury 91
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Fleury 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (-2%)

Valenciennes - Fleury 91 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Louchet J. (G) 2. Abu D. 5. Passi B. (C) 6. Zogba M. 28. Wahib A. 8. Rouai M. 19. Marechal T. 27. Amir Z. 22. Goprou D. 11. Ekra R. 7. Abi C.	40. Alette G. (G) 18. Cisse C. Y. 2. Colombo F. 26. Karamoko H. 25. Jean-Pierre M. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 6. Lefebvre G. 8. Leleve R. (C) 7. Verdier Y. 17. Lavigne V. 11. Rivas J.
Substitutes
25. Belloumou S. 26. Boiteau L. 18. Courtet G. 10. Diomande D. 40. Lacombe J. (G) 21. Marcel V. 9. Ndiaye J.	15. Angong F. 9. Anne S. 22. Badin C. 19. Farade K. 28. Homssa N. 20. Khetir C. 1. Petit A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Karamoko H. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Rouai M. ⚽,
27', Marechal T. 🟨,
38', Abu D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', Leleve R. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Verdier Y. ⚽, Lefebvre G. (A),
82', 1 - 2, Goprou D. (Own goal),
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟥,
90+3', (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Valenciennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Valenciennes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Fleury 91	9	3	3	3	15:12	3	12
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Valenciennes - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.19%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
03.09.26	Rouen FC - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Valenciennes - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Valenciennes - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Caen - Valenciennes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLWL
- FC Fleury 91
French Ligue 3
05.09.26	Fleury 91 - Villefranche	6:1 ✺
29.08.26	Quevilly - Fleury 91	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Fleury 91 - Orleans	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Cannes - Fleury 91	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Fleury 91 - Amiens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
17.04.26	Fleury 91 - Valenciennes	2:0
21.11.25	Valenciennes - Fleury 91	0:2

Valenciennes - Fleury 91: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide