Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday


	Valledupar		Tigres

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.87	4.2
	2.05	2.8	3.8
	1.92	2.95	3.95
	2.01	2.98	4.68
	1.91	2.8	4.33
	1.85	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.02)	2.92 ↓ (3.12)	4.22 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valledupar
47%

Draw
31.3%

Tigres
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

30%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

31%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	78.6%	0%

Valledupar - Tigres Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Valledupar will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valledupar won 1.

Valledupar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tigres is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tigres could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valledupar is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Valledupar won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Valledupar won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
08.08.22	Boca Juniors de Cali - Valledupar	2:0 ✺
04.08.22	Valledupar - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
01.08.22	Deportes Quindío - Valledupar	4:3 ✺
23.07.22	Orsomarso - Valledupar	1:1 ✺
17.07.22	Valledupar - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTT
- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
08.08.22	Tigres - Deportes Quindío	2:0 ✺
03.08.22	Boyacá Chicó - Tigres	2:2 ✺
30.07.22	Tigres - Leones	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Barranquilla - Tigres	3:0 ✺
09.07.22	Tigres - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
03.04.22	Tigres - Valledupar	3:2
15.08.21	Valledupar - Tigres	0:0
27.03.21	Valledupar - Tigres	0:0
17.10.20	Tigres - Valledupar	1:1
26.08.19	Tigres - Valledupar	1:2
10.03.19	Valledupar - Tigres	2:2
27.08.18	Tigres - Valledupar	2:2

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