Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Barbara E. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Valletta		Balzan

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.40	4.60
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.67	3.43	4.8
	1.69	3.52	4.74	Watch
	1.63	3.35	4.55
	1.65	3.44	4.89
	1.67	3.35	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	3.4 ↑ (3.2)	4.65 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valletta
54.2%

Draw
26.5%

Balzan
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

29.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Balzan aligns with the current prediction.

Valletta - Balzan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 32. Alex Tanque 11. Azzopardi J. (C) 3. Ellul M. 33. Mbende E. 44. Micallef N. 21. Prsa R. 55. Radic S. 23. Sekulovic P. 19. Tavares D. 8. Zammit A.	99. Djalo M. (G) 5. Arab S. (C) 14. Dimeji A. 18. Ederson 21. Gabriel Santos 42. Grech Z. 17. Guehi S. 77. Kuach Yuel V. 96. Leo Fernandes 11. Macula 8. Pulis N.
Substitutes
18. Ancilleri M. 5. Chetcuti S. 80. Ewurum K. 98. Formosa Z. 13. Frendo L. (G) 9. Gomes B. 31. James L. 94. Morello M. 10. Paiber B. 42. Sylla M. 77. Thaylor	4. Cassar Z. 25. Celic V. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 23. Cipriott S. 2. Djoric N. 10. Farrugia N. 6. Grech J. 19. Lapira L. 22. Micallef K. 24. Rosiel 9. Yahaya M.
Coaches
Micallef T.	Cohen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Macula ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Dimeji A. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Sekulovic P. 🟨,
28', Grech Z. 🟨,
30', Leo Fernandes 🟨,
38', Arab S. 🟨,
45', Prsa R. 🟨,
45', Pulis N. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Alex Tanque ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ellul M. ↓, Thaylor ↑,
48', Grech Z. 🟨,
51', Kuach Yuel V. ↓, Djoric N. ↑,
53', Sekulovic P. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
53', Azzopardi J. ↓, Paiber B. ↑,
70', Zammit A. ↓, Ewurum K. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Prsa R. ⚽,
78', 🟨,
81', Alex Tanque ↓, Gomes B. ↑,
86', Guehi S. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 3.

In recent matches, Valletta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Balzan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valletta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valletta is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.6:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valletta	6	4	1	1	15:6	9	13
8	Balzan	6	2	3	1	9:6	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valletta FC
Maltese Super Cup
07.09.26	Floriana - Valletta	0:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
02.09.26	Paola Hibernians - Valletta	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Valletta - Marsaxlokk	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Valletta - Żabbar St. Patrick	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Valletta - Raków Częstochowa	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL
- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
05.09.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Balzan - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Mosta - Balzan	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Balzan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.26	Balzan - Valletta	1:2
Maltese Premier League
21.04.24	Valletta - Balzan	1:0
16.12.23	Balzan - Valletta	0:0
10.03.23	Valletta - Balzan	0:0
29.10.22	Balzan - Valletta	1:3
23.04.22	Balzan - Valletta	1:1
19.12.21	Balzan - Valletta	2:1

Valletta - Balzan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide