Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)


	Valletta		Żabbar St. Patrick

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.60
	1.65	3.3	4.5
	1.68	3.56	5.01
	1.72	3.44	4.66	Watch
	1.61	3.5	4.95
	1.53	3.81	6.17
	1.67	3.35	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.65)	3.46 ↑ (3.38)	4.91 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valletta
55.2%

Draw
26.3%

Żabbar St. Patrick
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 32. Alex Tanque 11. Azzopardi J. 3. Ellul M. 33. Mbende E. 94. Morello M. 10. Paiber B. (C) 21. Prsa R. 55. Radic S. 77. Thaylor 8. Zammit A.	30. Mohorovic P. (G) 33. Basic A. 89. Fontanella M. 10. Joao Mafra 21. Jovancic S. (C) 7. Lancioni N. 22. Leonardi Z. 16. Micallef J. 8. M'Mombwa C. 32. Moriceau T. 23. Polidano Z.
Substitutes
24. Baldacchino J. 4. Bicakcic E. 5. Chetcuti S. 80. Ewurum K. 98. Formosa Z. 13. Frendo L. (G) 9. Gomes B. 28. Grech M. P. 44. Micallef N. 23. Sekulovic P. 19. Tavares D.	11. Agius N. 31. Cassar G. 77. Etim A. 70. Fenech K. 1. Leon S. (G) 4. Magri S. 71. Melillo T. 20. Micallef L. 17. Pisani J. 91. Tiago Gomes (G) 2. Xuereb D.
Coaches
Micallef T.	Agius G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Joao Mafra 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Lancioni N. ⚽,
20', Thaylor 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Zammit A. (Penalty Awarded),
35', Paiber B. 🟨,
38', Moriceau T. 🟨,
39', Maringa Adilson 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Fontanella M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ellul M. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
58', Paiber B. ↓, Micallef N. ↑,
58', Morello M. ↓, Sekulovic P. ↑,
58', Prsa R. ↓, Gomes B. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Micallef N. ⚽,
69', 🟨,
71', Basic A. ↓, Melillo T. ↑,
71', Polidano Z. ↓, Pisani J. ↑,
78', Jovancic S. 🟨,
79', 3 - 2, Zammit A. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 4 - 2, Tavares D. ⚽,
84', Lancioni N. ↓, Fenech K. ↑,
84', Fontanella M. ↓, Micallef L. ↑,
89', Alex Tanque ↓, Ewurum K. ↑,
89', Moriceau T. ↓, Magri S. ↑,
90+1', Melillo T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Valletta is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valletta	6	4	1	1	15:6	9	13
9	Zabbar	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valletta FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Valletta - Raków Częstochowa	0:4 ✺
23.07.26	Raków Częstochowa - Valletta	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Balzan - Valletta	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
23.05.26	Valletta - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
15.05.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL
- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Marsaxlokk - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
10.05.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	2:0 ET ✺
05.05.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	2:3 ET ✺
30.04.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
17.02.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Valletta	0:0
02.11.25	Valletta - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:2
Maltese FA Trophy
15.01.23	Valletta - Żabbar St. Patrick	5:1

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