The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valletta 34.8%
Draw 33.5%
Gżira United 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
27.2%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
26%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valletta's form might have worsened.
Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gżira United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valletta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gżira United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Valletta - Gżira United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Borg S. (C) 33. Mbende E. 10. Paiber B. 55. Radic S. 19. Tavares D. 77. Thaylor 20. Yankam Y. 50. Yuri 8. Zammit A.
33. Colombo E. (G) 5. Abela D. 9. Andre Carlos 6. Borg A. 8. Borg B. 13. Failla C. 10. Maxuell Samurai 3. Mentz G. (C) 23. N’sa C. 14. Riascos L. 30. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
29. Adebayo A. 1. Archibald J. (G) 28. Brewer S. 5. Chetcuti S. 3. Ellul M. 13. Frendo L. (G) 80. Grech M. P. 99. Meijer S. 31. Melillo T. 98. Mendoza J. 44. Micallef N.
19. Bastic S. 57. Bonilla J. 28. Cassar N. 11. Farrugia D. 20. Galea K. (G) 98. Kante 7. Martinez S. 25. Previ A. 1. Sargent K. (G) 96. Stojanovic M. 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.
Coaches
Micallef T.
Abdilla D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Borg A. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Andre Carlos ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yankam Y. ↓, Adebayo A. ↑,
59', Borg B. ↓, Bastic S. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Azzopardi J. ⚽,
67', Failla C. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Mbende E. ⚽,
70', Borg A. ↓, Kante ↑,
70', Zammit A. ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
76', 🟨,
81', Yuri ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
81', N’sa C. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
81', 🟨,
86', Mbende E. ↓, Brewer S. ↑,
90+9', 🟨,
Preview
Neutral location - Ta'Qali National Stadium.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 3.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Valletta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Valletta could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
Watch
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Maringa Adilson (G) 
Azzopardi J. 
Mbende E. 
Radic S. 
Tavares D. 
Thaylor 
Colombo E. (G) 
N’sa C. 
Riascos L. 
Adebayo A. 
Archibald J. (G) 
Brewer S. 
Meijer S. 
Bastic S. 
Bonilla J. 
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