Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Valletta		Hamrun Spartans

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.77	3.36	1.84
	3.81	3.54	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.91
	3.78	3.34	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.75)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valletta
24%

Draw
27.2%

Hamrun Spartans
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

27.8%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

26.3%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Valletta - Hamrun Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Archibald J. (G) 29. Adebayo A. 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Borg S. 33. Mbende E. 98. Mendoza J. 10. Paiber B. (C) 55. Radic S. 19. Tavares D. 77. Thaylor 50. Yuri	98. Celio (G) 24. Ceter D. 25. Ederson 91. Emerson 8. Garcia M. 6. Guillaumier M. 10. Mbong J. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 17. Serber K. 5. Xerri S.
Substitutes
28. Brewer S. 3. Ellul M. 5. Formosa Z. 13. Frendo L. (G) 90. Maringa Adilson (G) 99. Meijer S. 80. Mercieca C. 44. Micallef N. 24. Muscat R. 20. Yankam Y. 8. Zammit A.	7. Attard S. 27. Bjelicic O. 1. Bonello H. (G) 33. Bonello I. 14. Borg E. 31. Bulevardi D. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 30. Eleke B. 23. Hili K. 93. Inzoudine Y.
Coaches
Micallef T.	Modica G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Mbong J. ⚽,
7', 0 - 2, Ceter D. ⚽,
16', Mbende E. 🟨,
41', Rafael Compri ↓, Inzoudine Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mendoza J. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
46', Radic S. ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
57', Serber K. 🟨,
62', Serber K. ↓, Bjelicic O. ↑,
72', Azzopardi J. ↓, Yankam Y. ↑,
73', Yankam Y. 🟨,
79', Mbende E. ↓, Micallef N. ↑,
90', Garcia M. ↓, Attard S. ↑,
90', Ederson ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
90+1', Ceter D. ↓, Eleke B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 2.

Recent form of Valletta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hamrun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hamrun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valletta	6	4	1	1	15:6	9	13
5	Hamrun	6	3	1	2	9:6	3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Hamrun Spartans - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.76%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valletta FC
Maltese Premier League
09.05.26	Valletta - Floriana	0:1 penalties ✺
02.05.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Marsaxlokk - Valletta	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Floriana - Valletta	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Naxxar Lions - Valletta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLT
- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League
09.05.26	Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans	2:1 ET ✺
02.05.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	1:4 ✺
19.04.26	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
02.05.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	2:1
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	3:1 ET
Maltese Premier League
24.01.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	0:0
22.11.25	Hamrun Spartans - Valletta	1:0
31.08.25	Hamrun Spartans - Valletta	1:1
02.03.24	Hamrun Spartans - Valletta	1:1
28.10.23	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	1:2

Valletta - Hamrun Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide