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Current Win Probability
Marsaxlokk 54.9%
Draw 25.2%
Żabbar St. Patrick 19.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.6%
28.5%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
26.5%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsaxlokk's performance.
Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żabbar St. Patrick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsaxlokk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żabbar St. Patrick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marsaxlokk - Żabbar St. Patrick Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Mafoumbi C. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 8. Arias U. 11. Corbalan J. C. 10. Dodo 4. El Hasni O. 20. Garcia M. 9. Linden R. 25. Minala J. 6. Muscat N. (C) 5. Pepe E.
30. Mohorovic P. (G) 2. Brucic K. 18. Gouhon P. F. 10. Joao Mafra 21. Jovancic S. (C) 15. Jovicic M. 7. Lancioni N. 22. Leonardi Z. 71. Melillo T. 17. Pisani J. 29. Vinicius Kanu
Substitutes
14. Attard E. 30. Carabott Z. (G) 24. Caruana L. 23. Caruana T. 1. Cassar A. (G) 16. Karamitsios G. 26. Maniscalco M. 28. Mihana R. 33. Simkus D. 17. Smajlagic S. 3. Weder
11. Agius N. 33. Agyeman A. 39. Callus A. 77. Ellard A. 70. Fenech K. 89. Fontanella M. 1. Leon S. (G) 4. Magri S. 16. Micallef J. 8. M'Mombwa C. 23. Polidano Z.
Coaches
Potenza V.
Agius G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Leonardi Z. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Minala J. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 2 - 0, Dodo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gouhon P. F. ↓, M'Mombwa C. ↑,
46', Jovicic M. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
55', Melillo T. ↓, Micallef J. ↑,
56', Muscat N. 🟨,
63', Vinicius Kanu ↓, Fontanella M. ↑,
69', Lancioni N. ↓, Agius N. ↑,
70', Garcia M. ↓, Mihana R. ↑,
70', Linden R. ↓, Smajlagic S. ↑,
77', Micallef J. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Fontanella M. ⚽,
90+1', Arias U. ↓, Weder ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 9th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).
Marsaxlokk has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Żabbar have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Marsaxlokk carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Marsaxlokk has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:3 (averaging 1.8:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marsaxlokk against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).
Malta
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Mafoumbi C. (G) 
Aguirre L. 
Corbalan J. C. 
Dodo 
El Hasni O. 
Linden R. 
Minala J. 
Mohorovic P. (G) 
Gouhon P. F. 
Joao Mafra 
Jovancic S. (C) 
Mihana R. 
Simkus D. 
Smajlagic S. 
Agyeman A. 
Ellard A. 
Fontanella M. 
M'Mombwa C. 
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