Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Tukums 2000 2		Valmiera

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.80	1.39
	6.7	5.35	1.29
	6.13	5.13	1.3
	5.85	4.94	1.39	Watch
	6.00	4.40	1.36
	7.9	5.15	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↑ (5.61)	4.96 ↑ (4.8)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tukums 2000 2
14.2%

Draw
18.2%

Valmiera
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

18.8%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

18.5%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tukums 2000 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 2 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Tukums 2000 2 - Valmiera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Dembele M. ⚽, Stepanovs V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 0 - 2, Dembele M. ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Atligins I. ⚽, Putrans D. (A),
85', 1 - 3, Dembele M. ⚽,
88', 1 - 4, Doudou P. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Valmiera is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valmiera	21	16	3	2	60:23	37	51
10	Tukums 2000 2	21	5	3	13	27:60	-33	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tukums 2000 2
Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Rēzekne - Tukums 2000 2	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Leevon PPK - Tukums 2000 2	4:1 ✺
27.04.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Skanstes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLLW
- Valmiera FK
Latvian Cup
30.05.26	Valmiera - Skanstes	2:0 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
26.05.26	Super Nova 2 - Valmiera	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Riga Mariners - Valmiera	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Valmiera - JDFS Alberts	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Metta - Valmiera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLTW

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