Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hyytia J. (Fin)


	Valmiera		Partizani Tirana

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.2	3.05	2.35
	3.3	3.3	2.23
	3.46	3.38	2.17
	3.3	3.35	2.18	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera
28.6%

Draw
28.7%

Partizani Tirana
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Partizani Tirana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizani Tirana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	44.4%	27.8%

Valmiera - Partizani Tirana Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Valmiera will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Partizani will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olses C. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 4. Veips R. 3. Sliede N. 17. Fall P. 10. Jaunzems A. (C) 20. Ghanem A. 99. Kayramani F. 7. Silva G. 24. Ndoye A. 22. Diop M.	60. Qirko P. (G) 6. Zekolli L. 17. Kocijan M. 28. Sota E. 3. Atanaskoski D. 21. Murataj V. (C) 7. Mehmeti A. 99. Rrapaj A. 27. Taipi G. 90. Mba C. 22. Cara T.
Substitutes
2. Balodis D. 27. Birka E. 8. Cudars K. 37. Gonsalves T. 26. Lauva K. (G) 75. Leo Gaucho 11. Penaloza Ragga J. S. 28. Pulis I. 16. Volkovs K.	88. Bilalli S. 26. Buxhelaj P. 77. da Silva V. 11. Grezda E. 14. Gueye M. 44. Hadroj A. 12. Hoxha A. (G) 10. Keko A. 20. Kote G. 23. Preka M.
Coaches
Kalns J.	Zekic Z.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Recent matches Valmiera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Partizani is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Partizani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Valmiera have a series of home games.

Partizani will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK
Latvian Virsliga
06.08.23	Valmiera - Metta	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.23	Valmiera - Tre Penne	7:0 ✺
25.07.23	Tre Penne - Valmiera	0:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
22.07.23	Valmiera - BFC Daugavpils	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.23	Valmiera - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL
- Partizani Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.23	Partizani Tirana - Atlètic Escaldes	4:1 ✺
25.07.23	Atlètic Escaldes - Partizani Tirana	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	BATE Borisov - Partizani Tirana	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Partizani Tirana - BATE Borisov	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.23	Partizani Tirana - Struga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLTW

Valmiera - Partizani Tirana