The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valmiera 73.5%
Draw 17.2%
BFC Daugavpils 9.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.6%
20.7%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.5%
19.3%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valmiera's performance.
BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
0%
22.2%
Valmiera - BFC Daugavpils Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Valmiera will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Daugavpils will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Valmiera: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Oss D. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 2. Uldrikis N. 4. Veips R. 27. Birka E. 7. Gustavo 34. Korobenko A. 10. Vapne L. 19. Gueye D. 24. Ndoye A. 77. Porsan-Clemente J. (C)
91. Orols F. (G) 7. Tihonovics M. 77. Aizups R. 5. Kudelkins A. 37. Mihalcovs G. 3. Zjuzins A. 8. Skrebels R. (C) 17. Diedhiou B. 18. Galajs A. 99. Zaleiko G. 2. Golijanin A.
Substitutes
29. Bahamboula J. 15. Cesnieks K. 22. Diop M. 17. Duke C. 18. Dusalijevs N. 8. Kawasaki S. 1. Olses C. (G) 41. Omori Y. 21. Penkevics K.
19. Afanasjevs V. 6. Barkovskis N. 10. Fofana W. 11. Kone M. 15. Miksto M. 4. Molotkovs A. 30. Pinaskins E. 27. Saranins N. (G) 29. Ugen L.
Coaches
Kalnins G.
Kurbatov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Gustavo ⚽, Birka E. (A),
7', Zaleiko G. 🟨,
14', Mihalcovs G. 🟨,
19', Vapne L. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Ndoye A. ⚽, Birka E. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Diedhiou B. ⚽, Golijanin A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Porsan-Clemente J. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
47', Golijanin A. (Pen),
52', Galajs A. 🟨,
63', Gueye D. ↓, Bahamboula J. ↑,
63', Gustavo ↓, Penkevics K. ↑,
63', Galajs A. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
74', Mihalcovs G. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
85', Tonisevs M. 🟨,
85', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
86', 3 - 1, Ndoye A. ⚽, Bahamboula J. (A),
88', Skrebels R. ↓, Molotkovs A. ↑,
88', Ndoye A. ↓, Omori Y. ↑,
88', Vapne L. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 1, Omori Y. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Valmiera won 2.
Valmiera is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Daugavpils is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
In this match Valmiera is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Valmiera won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 36-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Valmiera won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-6.
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Oss D. (G) 
Gustavo 
Korobenko A. 
Gueye D. 
Porsan-Clemente J. (C) 
Golijanin A. 
Bahamboula J. 
Duke C. 
Olses C. (G) 
Fofana W. 
Kone M. 
Ugen L. 
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