Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Valmontone		Latte Dolce

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.65	3.7
	1.78	3.73	3.81	Watch
	1.74	3.6	4.02
	1.8	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	3.65 (3.65)	3.82 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmontone
51.3%

Draw
24.9%

Latte Dolce
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

23.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmontone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Latte Dolce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmontone than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latte Dolce than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Valmontone - Latte Dolce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Roberti F. ⚽,
4', 1 - 1, Cabeccia M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+14', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Valmontone is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Latte Dolce has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Valmontone is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valmontone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Latte Dolce	6	1	2	3	7:11	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmontone 1921
Italian Serie D - Group G
18.01.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Valmontone	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Valmontone - Olbia	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Atletico Lodigiani - Valmontone	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Valmontone - Real Monterotondo	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Valmontone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLWW
- USD Latte Dolce
Italian Serie D - Group G
18.01.26	Latte Dolce - Atletico Lodigiani	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Real Monterotondo - Latte Dolce	5:1 ✺
06.01.26	Latte Dolce - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Latte Dolce - Budoni	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cassino - Latte Dolce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
24.09.25	Latte Dolce - Valmontone	0:1

Valmontone - Latte Dolce: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide