Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Valmontone		Real Monterotondo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.55	4.85
	1.6	3.75	5.02	Watch
	1.6	3.3	5
	1.55	3.62	5.54
	1.61	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.11)	3.58 ↑ (3.32)	5.03 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmontone
56.8%

Draw
25.3%

Real Monterotondo
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmontone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valmontone's performance.

Real Monterotondo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Monterotondo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmontone than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valmontone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monterotondo than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Monterotondo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valmontone - Real Monterotondo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Roberti F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Valmontone has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Monterotondo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Valmontone is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmontone 1921
Italian Serie D - Group G
14.12.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Valmontone	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Valmontone - Cassino	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Montespaccato - Valmontone	3:4 ✺
23.11.25	Valmontone - Budoni	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Ancona - Valmontone	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLL
- Real Monterotondo
Italian Serie D - Group G
14.12.25	Real Monterotondo - Atletico Lodigiani	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Cassino - Real Monterotondo	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Montespaccato - Real Monterotondo	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Real Monterotondo - Budoni	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Valmontone - Real Monterotondo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide