Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Valmontone		Olbia

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.95	5.7
	1.51	3.92	5.69	Watch
	1.5	3.6	5.75
	1.57	3.98	5.5
	1.5	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.25)	3.89 ↑ (3.4)	5.63 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmontone
60.4%

Draw
23.4%

Olbia
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmontone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valmontone's performance.

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olbia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmontone than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valmontone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olbia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valmontone - Olbia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )).

Valmontone is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Olbia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Valmontone is the clear favorite.

We predict that Valmontone will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmontone 1921
Italian Serie D - Group G
04.01.26	Atletico Lodigiani - Valmontone	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Valmontone - Real Monterotondo	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Valmontone	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Valmontone - Cassino	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Montespaccato - Valmontone	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWW
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie D - Group G
04.01.26	Olbia - Albalonga	1:4 ✺
20.12.25	Olbia - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Anzio - Olbia	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Trastevere - Olbia	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Olbia - Scafatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLTT

Valmontone - Olbia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide