Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Hlídarendi (Reykjavík)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Valur		St. Mirren

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	2.8	Watch
	2.05	3.7	2.95
	2.15	3.75	3	Watch
	2.13	3.7	3.06
	2.1	3.88	3.01	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.38
	2.13	3.75	3.04	Watch
	2.17	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (3.46)	3.73 ↑ (3.44)	2.89 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
42.9%

Draw
24.9%

St. Mirren
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.8%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valur's performance.

St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Mirren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Valur - St. Mirren Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). St. Mirren will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schram F. (G) 3. Gunnarsson H. 21. Palsson J. 4. Helgason E. 11. Larusson S. 23. Sigurdsson G. 6. Antonsson Duffield B. 10. Sigurdsson K. (C) 12. Haraldsson T. 9. Pedersen P. 8. Jonsson J.	1. Balcombe E. (G) 22. Fraser M. 13. Gogic A. 5. Taylor R. 42. Bwomono E. 8. Smyth O. 15. Boyd-Munce C. 6. O'Hara M. (C) 21. Brown J. 20. Olusanya T. 9. Mandron M.
Substitutes
25. Agustsson S. (G) 15. Eyjolfsson H. 71. Finsen O. 17. Heimisson L. 7. Johannsson A. 31. Kristinsson O. (G) 20. Omarsson O. 2. Saevarsson B. 26. Stephensen O. 14. Tryggvason G. 16. Unnarsson G.	23. Adeniran D. 7. Ayunga J. 12. Idowu R. 24. Jamieson L. 31. Kelly S. (G) 26. Kenny L. 33. Mooney E. 14. Scott J. 34. Sutherland E. 3. Tanser S. 30. Taylor F. 27. Urminsky P. (G)
Coaches
Gretarsson A.	Robinson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Boyd-Munce C. ↓, Adeniran D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Smyth O. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
63', Gunnarsson H. ↓, Saevarsson B. ↑,
65', Olusanya T. 🟨,
68', Olusanya T. ↓, Scott J. ↑,
68', Mandron M. ↓, Ayunga J. ↑,
73', Haraldsson T. ↓, Heimisson L. ↑,
73', Sigurdsson K. ↓, Johannsson A. ↑,
74', Johannsson A. 🟨,
78', O'Hara M. 🟨,
80', Idowu R. 🟨,
81', Johannsson A. 🟥,
84', Pedersen P. ↓, Unnarsson G. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Valur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Mirren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.07.24	Vllaznia Shkodër - Valur	0:4 ✺
11.07.24	Valur - Vllaznia Shkodër	2:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.07.24	Valur - Fylkir	4:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
02.07.24	KA Akureyri - Valur	3:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.06.24	Akraness - Valur	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWLL
- St. Mirren
Club Friendly
19.07.24	St. Mirren - Carlisle United	2:2 ✺
09.07.24	Greenock Morton - St. Mirren	0:2 ✺
06.07.24	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Mirren	0:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
18.05.24	Celtic - St. Mirren	3:2 ✺
15.05.24	St. Mirren - Hearts	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLT

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