Match Info

Premiership - Round 25

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: The SMISA Stadium (Paisley)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
Philippines	SPOTV
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	SPOTV
World	Onefootball


	St. Mirren		Hearts

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.2	1.91	Watch
	4.15	3.2	1.92	Watch
	4.42	3.29	2
	4.28	3.25	1.96	Watch
	4	3.1	1.95
	4.43	3.29	1.96	Watch
	4.2	3.14	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.92)	3.21 ↓ (3.64)	1.95 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Mirren
22.3%

Draw
29.4%

Hearts
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

25.9%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

25.5%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hearts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hearts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.9%	9.5%	78.6%

St. Mirren - Hearts Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hearts (1.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hearts will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hearts will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Mirren (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Hearts (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. George S. (G) 22. Fraser M. (C) 5. King R. 21. Freckleton M. 2. Richardson J. 13. Gogic A. 8. Devaney J. 88. Phillips K. 24. John D. 9. Mandron M. 14. N'Lundulu D.	25. Schwolow A. (G) 15. Steinwender M. 4. Halkett C. (C) 19. Findlay S. 18. Milne H. 31. McEntee O. 49. Leonard M. 6. Baningime B. 89. Kyziridis A. 10. Braga C. 11. Kabore P.
Substitutes
17. Calvin J. 16. Campbell A. 4. Donnelly L. 29. Etete K. 7. Idowu R. 10. McMenamin C. 31. Mullen R. (G) 19. Sobowale T. 3. Tanser S.	40. Ageu 23. Altena J. 1. Gordon C. (G) 7. Kabangu E. 2. Kent F. 29. Kerjota S. 22. Magnusson T. 5. McCart J. 16. Spittal B.
Coaches
Robinson S.	McInnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Halkett C. 🟥,
38', Kyziridis A. ↓, Kent F. ↑,
39', Kabore P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', Devaney J. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
71', Richardson J. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
76', King R. 🟨,
77', Mandron M. ↓, Etete K. ↑,
79', Kabore P. ↓, Kabangu E. ↑,
79', Baningime B. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
86', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Sobowale T. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Freckleton M. ⚽, John D. (A),
90+3', Leonard M. ↓, Ageu ↑,
90+3', Steinwender M. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 1.

St. Mirren has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hearts is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hearts is a strong favorite.

There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J. (Tendon Injury) Baccus K. (Hamstring Injury) O'Hara M. (Ankle Injury) Young J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Hearts: Borchgrevink C. (Hamstring Injury) Devlin C. (Ankle Injury) Kingsley S. (Groin Injury) Nieuwenhof C. (Hamstring Injury) Pollock F. (Hamstring Injury) Shankland L. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in St. Mirren: Tanser S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Hearts: 4.17% St. Mirren: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Hearts	8	5	1	2	19:8	11	16
6	St. Mirren	8	3	1	4	8:14	-6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League
31.01.26	St. Mirren - Dundee	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Livingston - St. Mirren	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Livingston - St. Mirren	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.01.26	Hearts - St. Mirren	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	St. Mirren - Falkirk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTWLL
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
31.01.26	Dundee United - Hearts	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Hearts - Celtic	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Hearts - Falkirk	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.01.26	Hearts - St. Mirren	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Dundee - Hearts	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
14.01.26	Hearts - St. Mirren	2:0
29.10.25	St. Mirren - Hearts	2:2
Scottish League Cup
16.08.25	St. Mirren - Hearts	2:1 penalties
Scottish Premier League
26.02.25	Hearts - St. Mirren	3:1
Scottish Cup
10.02.25	St. Mirren - Hearts	1:2 penalties
Scottish Premier League
19.10.24	Hearts - St. Mirren	4:0
21.09.24	St. Mirren - Hearts	2:1

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