Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 25 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan		Esteghlal Molasani

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.8	4.75
	1.86	2.65	4.6
	1.91	2.65	4.75
	1.9	2.74	4.8
	2.01	2.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.1)	2.7 ↓ (2.77)	4.66 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
47.4%

Draw
33.3%

Esteghlal Molasani
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

32.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

31.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Van Pars Naghshe Jahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Esteghlal Molasani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Esteghlal Molasani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Van Pars Naghshe Jahan than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Molasani than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esteghlal Molasani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	46.7%	20%

Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Esteghlal Molasani Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Van Pars will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Esteghlal Molasani will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).

Van Pars is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Esteghlal Molasani is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Van Pars is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
Iran Division 1
19.12.22	Arman Gohar - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Chooka Talesh - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:2 ✺
31.10.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	0:1 ✺
25.10.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWTWT
- Esteghlal Molasani
Iran Division 1
19.12.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
18.11.22	Shahrdari Astara - Esteghlal Molasani	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Pars Jonoubi Jam	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Molasani	4:0 ✺
31.10.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTLT

Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Esteghlal Molasani

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Esteghlal Molasani Predictions

Preview

Form

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