Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan		Shams Azar Qazvin

	1	X	2
	6	2.9	1.65
	5.4	3	1.65
	5.4	3.04	1.67
	7.5	2.89	1.64
	5.6	3.1	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.98 ↑ (4)	2.99 ↑ (2.63)	1.66 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
15.1%

Draw
30.3%

Shams Azar Qazvin
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

34.1%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

34.2%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Van Pars Naghshe Jahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Van Pars Naghshe Jahan's form might have worsened.

Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shams Azar Qazvin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Van Pars Naghshe Jahan than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Van Pars Naghshe Jahan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shams Azar Qazvin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions

Users Predictions: Shams Azar Qazvin will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League).

Recent matches Van Pars is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shams Azar Qazvin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shams Azar Qazvin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
Iran Division 1
31.10.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	0:1 ✺
25.10.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:3 ✺
18.10.22	Chadormalou Ardakan - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	SaiPa - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	1:0 ✺
06.10.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLLT
- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Division 1
31.10.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:1 ✺
18.10.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - SaiPa	4:0 ✺
11.10.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:1 ✺
06.10.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Shahrdari Astara	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWTW

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