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Current Win Probability
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 35.2%
Draw 23.7%
Real Monarchs 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
25%
47.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
24.5%
46.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vancouver Whitecaps 2's performance.
Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Monarchs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps 2 than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vancouver Whitecaps 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Monarchs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
60. Rogers S. (G) 58. Peace J. 43. Wright T. (C) 54. Amponsah P. 48. Garnette M. 68. Tsuji Y. 46. Bruletti C. 66. Deo S. 61. Rassak C. 45. Zuluaga Y. 51. Podgorni K.
99. Alphin R. (G) 44. Cowell C. 3. Henry K. 55. Calderon G. 77. Mesalles R. 41. Villa G. 34. Moisa L. 76. O'Gara L. 61. Amparo I. 47. Ewald F. 33. Parker V.
Substitutes
71. Badwal M. 72. Bejaoui A. 64. Brown T. 57. Kim J. 70. Lodder T. 65. Peter A. 47. Popovic M.
30. Anderson O. 97. Gozo Z. 64. Kropp D. 40. Marquez O. 37. Rivera L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Amparo I. ⚽, Cowell C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 0 - 2, Parker V. ⚽, Ewald F. (A),
47', 1 - 2, Calderon G. (Own goal),
49', 1 - 3, Henry K. ⚽, Amparo I. (A),
51', Amparo I. 🟨,
55', Amponsah P. 🟨,
65', Cowell C. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
65', Henry K. ↓, Kropp D. ↑,
66', Tsuji Y. ↓, Brown T. ↑,
66', Podgorni K. ↓, Bejaoui A. ↑,
73', Marquez O. 🟨,
78', Alphin R. 🟨,
79', Zuluaga Y. ↓, Badwal M. ↑,
84', Moisa L. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
86', Kropp D. 🟨,
90+4', Villa G. ↓, Rivera L. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Whitecaps 2 won 1.
Whitecaps 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Real Monarchs has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Monarchs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Real Monarchs has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Whitecaps 2 won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 1.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Whitecaps 2 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).