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Current Win Probability
Real Monarchs 41.9%
Draw 26.6%
Houston Dynamo 2 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
26.4%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
27.8%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Houston Dynamo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Real Monarchs - Houston Dynamo 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Kerkvliet M. (G) 23. Booth Z. 67. Charpie W. (C) 80. Wentzel M. 77. Mesalles R. 41. Villa G. 38. Riquelme A. 61. Amparo I. 34. Moisa L. 70. Lineker Rodrigues 30. Anderson O.
1. Pedro (G) 3. Hata E. 20. Wolff G. 12. Silva V. 39. Mohammad S. 44. Gardner M. 18. Gonzalez D. (C) 6. Rivera G. 33. Dimareli M. 22. Arana M. 9. Arthur Sousa
Substitutes
99. Alphin R. (G) 50. Djiro L. 66. Estala C. 47. Ewald F. 64. Kropp D. 40. Marquez O. 76. O'Gara L. 33. Parker V. 88. Ream L.
16. Aparecido Martins Ferreira A. 11. Bell J. 14. Betancourt N. 7. Brummett A. 35. Erb L. (G) 8. Gustavo Dohmann 17. Herrera D. 27. Miller R. 30. Mwakutuya I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Rivera G. 🟨,
20', Wentzel M. 🟨,
33', Booth Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Booth Z. ↓, Ewald F. ↑,
46', Wentzel M. ↓, Estala C. ↑,
59', Gardner M. ↓, Aparecido Martins Ferreira A. ↑,
63', Anderson O. ↓, Parker V. ↑,
69', Arana M. ↓, Bell J. ↑,
71', Amparo I. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
71', Arthur Sousa ↓, Brummett A. ↑,
71', Gonzalez D. ↓, Gustavo Dohmann ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Bell J. ⚽, Mohammad S. (A),
81', Gustavo Dohmann 🟨,
84', Villa G. ↓, Ream L. ↑,
84', Moisa L. ↓, Djiro L. ↑,
85', Dimareli M. ↓, Betancourt N. ↑,
85', Silva V. ↓, Mwakutuya I. ↑,
90+5', Wolff G. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 2.
Real Monarchs is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Houston Dynamo 2 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Houston Dynamo 2 has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.6:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Monarchs - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
World
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Kerkvliet M. (G) 
Wentzel M. 
Riquelme A. 
Lineker Rodrigues 
Hata E. 
Arana M. 
Djiro L. 
Parker V. 
Bell J. 
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