The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles 2 44.5%
Draw 23.8%
Real Monarchs 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
24.6%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
23.7%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles 2's performance.
Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Monarchs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles 2 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Monarchs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Los Angeles 2 - Real Monarchs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Carter C. (C) 62. Santiago J. 35. Goodman L. 34. Whitchurch G. 83. Kaplan S. 36. Guerra D. 81. Rodriguez E. 68. Lambert L. 56. Villeda E. 63. Resich D. 47. Aiyenero M.
24. Kerkvliet M. (C) 47. Ewald F. 37. Rivera L. 55. Calderon G. 76. O'Gara L. 41. Villa G. 30. Anderson O. 34. Moisa L. 40. Marquez O. 38. Riquelme A. 36. Barea J.
Substitutes
32. Babineau T. 55. Diaz E. 49. Kosakoff C. 39. Mardaresco N. 90. Mihalic T. 66. Moyado B. 40. Nava S. 42. Ozar M. 41. Scally E. (G)
99. Alphin R. (G) 61. Amparo I. 44. Cowell C. 50. Djiro L. 88. Ream L. 87. Uriostegui A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Barea J. ⚽, Marquez O. (A),
30', Aiyenero M. ↓, Kosakoff C. ↑,
39', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
42', Ewald F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Villeda E. ↓, Nava S. ↑,
46', Resich D. ↓, Mihalic T. ↑,
46', Kaplan S. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Kosakoff C. ⚽, Guerra D. (A),
63', 2 - 1, Kosakoff C. ⚽, Mihalic T. (A),
63', Barea J. ↓, Amparo I. ↑,
65', Marquez O. 🟨,
70', Amparo I. 🟨,
74', Villa G. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
74', Moisa L. ↓, Djiro L. ↑,
80', Riquelme A. 🟨,
82', Rivera L. ↓, Ream L. ↑,
85', Calderon G. 🟨,
89', Lambert L. ↓, Moyado B. ↑,
90+2', Djiro L. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Marquez O. ⚽, O'Gara L. (A),
Penalties (8 - 9)
1, Guerra D. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Anderson O. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Rodriguez E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, O'Gara L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nava S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Marquez O. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mihalic T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Riquelme A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Moyado B. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ewald F. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Kosakoff C. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Amparo I. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Diaz E. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Cowell C. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Goodman L. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Djiro L. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Santiago J. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Ream L. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Whitchurch G. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Calderon G. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles 2 won 3.
Los Angeles 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Real Monarchs is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Los Angeles 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Los Angeles 2 has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Los Angeles 2 will win today's game, with odds of 2.17.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles 2 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).