Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: HFC Bank Stadium (Suva)


	Vanuatu		New Caledonia

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.50	2.25
	2.60	3.60	2.40
	2.65	3.45	2.35
	2.71	3.65	2.53
	2.58	3.56	2.39
	2.60	3.60	2.45
	2.78	3.72	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.8)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.42 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanuatu
35.3%

Draw
26.1%

New Caledonia
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.5%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanuatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

New Caledonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Vanuatu - New Caledonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Firiam K. (G) Malampa Revivors . Alick J. Solomon Warriors . Iamak I. . Kaltack S. . Kaltack T. Erakor Golden Star . Malakai A. ABM Galaxy . Moses J. Suva . Roqara T. . Soromon A. Vanuatu United . Wanemut J. . Worworbu A.	1. Ulile M. (G) Magenta 10. Dahite B. 14. Decoire C. 8. Diko G. 15. Iekawe P. Tiga Sport 3. Iopue F. 18. Qaeze S. 9. Read W. Tiga Sport 6. Teanyouen K. 12. Tufele D. 5. Wahiobe N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
79', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Vanuatu is ranked FIFA: 160., and New Caledonia is ranked FIFA: 151..

Vanuatu may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vanuatu has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:5 (averaging 0:2.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanuatu
Friendly
24.09.26	Solomon Islands - Vanuatu	3:3 ✺
21.09.26	Fiji - Vanuatu	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Papua New Guinea - Vanuatu	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Vanuatu - Fiji	2:2 ✺
06.06.26	Vanuatu - Fiji	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLTW
- New Caledonia
Friendly
24.09.26	Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	New Caledonia - Solomon Islands	0:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
26.03.26	New Caledonia - Jamaica	0:1 ✺
Friendly
08.10.25	Gibraltar - New Caledonia	0:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	New Caledonia - New Zealand	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Pacific Games Football
27.11.23	New Caledonia - Vanuatu	1:0
Friendly
08.10.23	New Caledonia - Vanuatu	4:0

Vanuatu - New Caledonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide